National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
2 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
5 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
7 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
8 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
9 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
10 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
11 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
12 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
13 WANG Alice 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
14 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
15 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
16 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
18 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
19 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
20 LIU Sydney 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
21 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
22 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
23 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
24 BUSH Bethany 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
25 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
26 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
27 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
28 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
29 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
30 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% -
31 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
32 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
33 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
34 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
35 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
36 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 3%
37 CARTER Keely 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
38 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
39 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
40 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
41 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
42 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
43 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
44 XIE Nora 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
45 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
46 HUANG MADELINE 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
47 NAIR Supriya 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
48 LO Chloe 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
49 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
50 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
51 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
51 PROBASCO Leila 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
53 SINGER Ellery 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
54 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
55 REAVIS Isabel 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
56 ZHENG Valentina 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
57 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
58 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
59 LUKER Hannah 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
60 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
61 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
62 BROCK Sydney 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
63 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
64 BLAKE Anna 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
65 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
66 DUCKETT Leighton 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
67 KITSON Sasha 100% 37% 6% - - - -
68 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
69 SADANI Jyotika 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
70 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
71 MYAT Chloe 100% 94% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
72 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
73 MACKAY Katherine 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
74 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
75 XU Kaylyn 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
76 DEHON Inès 100% 95% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
77 KANDADAI Lara 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
77 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
79 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
80 ALTMAN Leigh 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
81 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
82 XU Emily T. 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
83 ZHAI AMY 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
83 SENTHIL Tejas 100% 25% 3% - - - -
85 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
86 ONG Lauren 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
87 HITOMI Nadya 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
88 ISBERG Natalie 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
89 SCHOON REBECCA 100% 80% 38% 10% 2% - -
89 WALLER London 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 4% -
91 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
92 HAN Emma 100% 93% 64% 24% 5% - -
93 KHOST Maeve 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
94 DUCKETT Retta 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
95 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
96 ZHAN Sophie 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
96 SUHALIM Maree 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
98 CHAMI Lana 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
99 BARROSO Isabela 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
100 STONE Coral 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
101 GLUCK Myriam 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
102 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.