National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, July 1, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
5 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
6 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
7 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
8 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
9 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
10 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
11 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
12 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
13 LIU kai yin aria 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
14 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
15 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 99% 86% 40% 5%
16 WU Helen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
17 SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
18 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
19 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
20 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
20 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 3%
22 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
23 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
24 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 3%
25 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
26 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
27 KINKADE Ellie 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
28 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
29 HUANG MADELINE 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
30 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
31 SHI Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
32 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
33 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
34 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
34 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
36 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
37 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
38 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
39 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
40 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
41 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
42 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
43 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
44 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
45 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
46 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
47 WANG Callie 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
48 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
49 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
50 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
51 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
52 ONG Lauren 100% 95% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
53 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
54 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
55 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
56 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
57 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 1%
58 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
59 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
60 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 78% 34% 6% -
61 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
62 ZHENG Valentina 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
63 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
64 GAY Sasha 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
65 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
66 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% < 1%
67 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
67 CARTER Keely 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
67 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
70 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
71 FAN Alexandria 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - < 1%
72 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
73 YAO Rainie 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
74 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
75 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
76 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
77 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
78 WEI JoyAnn 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% -
79 HUANG Doris 100% 99% 85% 44% 10% 1%
80 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
81 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
82 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
82 YU Holly 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
84 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
85 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
85 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
85 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
88 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
89 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
90 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
91 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
91 WILSON Eva 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
93 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
94 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
94 LI Sonia 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
96 CROOKS Riley 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
97 FAN Grace 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
98 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
99 LI Alexis 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
99 TANG Zhifei 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
101 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 1%
102 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
103 CHI Claire 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
104 LITTLE Avery 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% -
105 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
106 LI YING CHU 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
107 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
108 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
109 HSU Leah 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
110 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
111 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 1%
112 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
113 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
114 PADANILAM Lily 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
115 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
116 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
117 WU Yuwei 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
118 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
119 YUEN Nicole 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
120 LEE Lauren 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
121 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
122 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37%
123 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
124 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
125 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 6%
126 LO Chloe 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
127 HANLON Lucy 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
128 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 99% 90% 49% 7%
129 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
130 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
131 WANG Jiayi 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% < 1% -
132 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
133 CONG Anne 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4% -
134 NAYAK Esha 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
135 SHMULER Fiona 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
136 STONE Coral 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
136 LIU Hannah 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
138 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
139 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
140 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 98% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
141 ZOU Yelin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
142 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
143 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
144 KHOST Maeve 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
144 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
146 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
147 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
148 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 96% 64% 17% 2% -
149 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
150 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
151 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
152 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
153 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
154 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% 1%
154 ZAWADA Milena 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
156 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
156 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
158 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
159 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
160 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
160 SINGER Ellery 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
162 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
162 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
164 VINOKUR Anita 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
165 GUVEN Coco 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
166 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
167 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
167 KANDADAI Lara 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
169 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
170 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 3%
170 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
172 BARROSO Isabela 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
173 SHEARER Alena 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% - -
174 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
175 MAK Kaitlin 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
176 HITOMI Nadya 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
177 MACKAY Katherine 100% 94% 50% 12% 1% -
178 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 11%
179 WANG Alice 100% 100% 94% 64% 22% 2%
180 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% -
181 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
182 YAM Danika 100% 100% 94% 64% 19% 1%
183 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
184 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 89% 42% 7% - -
185 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
186 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
187 SADANI Jyotika 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
188 QIU Katherine 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
189 NAIR Supriya 100% 99% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
190 HU Michelle 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
190 SUVOROVA Anna 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
192 LIM Alexa J. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
192 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
194 KWON Ava 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
195 REAVIS Isabel 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
196 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
196 KANG Soeun 100% 38% 6% - - - -
198 WANG yining 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
199 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
200 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
200 WALLER London 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
202 HUANG Neila 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
202 SCHOEW Margot 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
204 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
205 LIN Annika 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
206 ZHAI AMY 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
207 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
207 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
209 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
210 CHEN Elaine 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
210 LUKER Hannah 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
212 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
213 BROCK Sydney 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
214 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
215 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
216 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 42% 6% - - - -
216 SUHALIM Maree 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
218 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
219 XU Kaylyn 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
220 DOLEV Rony 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
221 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
222 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
223 SENTHIL Tejas 100% 23% 2% - - -
224 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
225 BARNES Sarah 100% 26% 2% - - -
226 LIU Hannah 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
227 RANJAN Diya 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
228 YOUNG Audrey 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
229 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
230 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
230 CHEN Kevy 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
232 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
233 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
233 HAN Emma 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
235 KITSON Sasha 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
236 PROBASCO Leila 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
237 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
237 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
237 KIM Karen 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
240 ALAMI Amira 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
241 LEE Kaitlin 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
241 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
243 BAINS Nandini 100% 99% 70% 28% 5% - -
244 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
244 DEHON Inès 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
244 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
244 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
248 BROWNER June 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
249 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
249 SAWANT Asmi 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
251 NEUMAN Ella 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
251 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
253 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
254 CHAMI Lana 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
255 ZHAN Sophie 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
256 ALDORT Amanda 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
257 POLSTON Ella 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
257 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
259 JUDE Simona 100% 16% 1% - - - -
260 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 39% 6% - - - -
261 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
261 REN Katherine 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
263 VATS Ishita 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
264 DONG Angel 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9% -
265 WANG Peijia 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
266 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
267 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 93% 68% 26% 1%
268 WILSON Sophie 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
268 BARRERA Aurora 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
270 JOHNSON Aven 100% 94% 54% 14% 1% -
271 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
272 DUCKETT Retta 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
272 NAYAK Antara 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
274 YOO Audrey 100% 38% 5% - - -
275 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 85% 37% 7% 1% - -
275 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
275 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
275 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
275 EDELBROCK Kate 100% 10% - - - - -
275 LU QIWEN 100% 30% 4% - - - -
281 BORGUETA Madison 100% 91% 48% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.