National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NADILE Henry V. - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 CRAIG Samuel 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
3 WITEK Bernard J. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 BERA Enzo 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
5 BULL Anderson - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
6 MANDEL Adam J. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
7 SCHARDINE James - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
8 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
9 YAN William - 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5%
10 QIU Nathan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 5%
11 ZHAO Lucas 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
12 MATTOO Surya 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
13 LUHAN Zachary 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
14 BARNETT Adam - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
15 HUBLALL Ethan 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
16 HOTHA Nikhil 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
17 HONG Steven - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
18 POFF Kainoa 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
19 CHABENAT Guillaume - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
20 PIWOWAR Alex - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
21 ZHANG Derek - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
22 MCCARTHY Devan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
23 BOSITA Carson 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
24 AKS Ari 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
25 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
26 LIN Maxim - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
27 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
28 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
29 CHOW William T. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
30 FELDMAN Drew 3% 17% 37% 33% 11% -
31 AERY FALLICK Ozzie - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
32 HU Chris - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
33 HONG Rubin - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
34 CHUNG Connor - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 5%
35 SOWERS Samuel 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
36 SU Landon 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 3%
37 TANN Justin - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
38 GUFFEY Christopher - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
39 RADJABLI Maximillian 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
40 MATTOO Deven 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
41 BERGER Oliver - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
42 DEPEW Spencer - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
43 DECK Tyson - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
44 HOLMES Aiden G. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
45 ROE Finnegan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
46 ZENG Noah - 2% 9% 24% 33% 24% 7%
46 TSE Aiden J 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
48 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
49 YUAN Kevin - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
50 MICHELL Bailey - - 3% 17% 36% 34% 9%
51 QUAN Nicholas - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
51 KIM Kendrick 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
53 YAN Kevin - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
54 PAN Alex - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
55 RAMANAN Govind 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
56 SAMMI Mukul 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
57 BYON Julian - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
58 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
59 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
60 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
61 KILARI Krish 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
62 ZHOU Grant 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
63 TSAO Oliver 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
64 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
65 PI Alexander - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
66 LAUB William 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
67 WANG William 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
68 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
69 LIN Nick - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
70 DUMOULIN Gabriel 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
71 BARRIOS Diego - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
72 XU Andrew - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
73 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
74 NG Jonathan - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
75 JENSBY Jason 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
76 LESUEUR Luke J. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
77 LIN Daniel - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
77 ZHANG Ethan W. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
79 HAO Anwen 5% 24% 37% 26% 7% -
80 STAMIS Kyle 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
81 FIELDS Matthew S. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
82 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
83 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
84 NOURELDIN Gabriel 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1%
85 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
86 SAVOY Luca - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
86 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
88 WANG Max 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
89 RIGGINS Littleton K. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
90 ZLATINSKI Jason 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
91 ANAND Rohan 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
92 LEE Andrew 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
93 MANESCU Miron 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
94 DOLAN Charles R. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
95 MUNGUIA Nathan 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
96 ATWOOD Griffin 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
96 KO Zuriel 27% 43% 24% 5% - -
98 WAGNER Elijah 42% 41% 15% 3% - -
99 MAY Griffin M. 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
100 BAUER Hank E. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
101 YANG Dylan 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
102 KOGAN Nikita 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
103 HUA Michael 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
104 MARQUEZ Jeremy 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
105 GILSHTEYN Jacob 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
106 FREDRICK Jameer 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
107 HUANG Alexander C. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
108 GONG Jerry 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
108 BADUSHOV Anton 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
110 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 43% 42% 14% 2% - - -
111 LI linze 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
112 KWON Kenneth 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
112 FOX Gavin 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
114 VEDRE Neil 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
115 BENSON Jacob 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
116 WEN Edward 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
117 LIN Felix 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
118 KALPATHY Rohit - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
119 DUDNICK Christian 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
120 BYON Adrian 1% 9% 28% 37% 22% 4%
121 GOLDIN Lucca 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
122 VAUGHN Jason 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
123 SUBA Lucas 10% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
124 CHEN Jonathan 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
125 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
126 VENU Ram 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% -
127 TUNG Ryan 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
128 HWANG Jayden - 1% 5% 18% 36% 31% 10%
129 WITCZAK Mateus 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
130 SHANKWILER Christopher 1% 8% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
131 KERCHER Alexander 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
132 SALMAN Hamzah 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
133 CHENG Hong 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
134 KLEBS Robert 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
135 SIDDIQUI Shayan 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
136 NAMBIAR Navin 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
137 XUE Leo 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
138 HUNG Samuel 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
138 HENDERSON Jack 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
140 XU Ivan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
140 BARNES William 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
142 HERRERA aragon 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
143 DOLEV Ido 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
144 ZHOU William 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
145 GERSTMANN Max T. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
146 PARKILA Lukas 15% 42% 31% 10% 2% - -
147 FARIDI Imran 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.