National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 CRAIG Samuel 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 19% 3%
3 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 BERA Enzo 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
5 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
6 MANDEL Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
7 SCHARDINE James 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
8 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
9 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
10 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
11 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
12 MATTOO Surya 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
13 LUHAN Zachary 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
14 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
15 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
16 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
17 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
18 POFF Kainoa 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
19 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 1%
20 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
21 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
22 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
23 BOSITA Carson 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
24 AKS Ari 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
25 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
26 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
27 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
28 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
29 CHOW William T. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
30 FELDMAN Drew 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% -
31 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
32 HU Chris 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
33 HONG Rubin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
34 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
35 SOWERS Samuel 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
36 SU Landon 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 3%
37 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
38 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
39 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
40 MATTOO Deven 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
41 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
42 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
43 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
44 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
45 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
46 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
46 TSE Aiden J 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
48 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
49 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
50 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
51 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
51 KIM Kendrick 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
53 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
54 PAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
55 RAMANAN Govind 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
56 SAMMI Mukul 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 4% -
57 BYON Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
58 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
59 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
60 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
61 KILARI Krish 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
62 ZHOU Grant 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
63 TSAO Oliver 100% 95% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
64 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
65 PI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
66 LAUB William 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
67 WANG William 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
68 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
69 LIN Nick 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
70 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
71 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
72 XU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
73 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
74 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
75 JENSBY Jason 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
76 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
77 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
77 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
79 HAO Anwen 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% -
80 STAMIS Kyle 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
81 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
82 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
83 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
84 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
85 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
86 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
86 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
88 WANG Max 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
89 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
90 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 90% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
91 ANAND Rohan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
92 LEE Andrew 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
93 MANESCU Miron 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
94 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
95 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
96 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
96 KO Zuriel 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
98 WAGNER Elijah 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
99 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
100 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
101 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
102 KOGAN Nikita 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
103 HUA Michael 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
104 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
105 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 89% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
106 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
107 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
108 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
108 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
110 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
111 LI linze 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
112 KWON Kenneth 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
112 FOX Gavin 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
114 VEDRE Neil 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
115 BENSON Jacob 100% 79% 41% 14% 3% - -
116 WEN Edward 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
117 LIN Felix 100% 94% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
118 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
119 DUDNICK Christian 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
120 BYON Adrian 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
121 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
122 VAUGHN Jason 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
123 SUBA Lucas 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
124 CHEN Jonathan 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
125 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
126 VENU Ram 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% -
127 TUNG Ryan 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
128 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
129 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
130 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
131 KERCHER Alexander 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
132 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
133 CHENG Hong 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
134 KLEBS Robert 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
135 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 14% 2%
136 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
137 XUE Leo 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
138 HUNG Samuel 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
138 HENDERSON Jack 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
140 XU Ivan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
140 BARNES William 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
142 HERRERA aragon 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
143 DOLEV Ido 100% 90% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
144 ZHOU William 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
145 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
146 PARKILA Lukas 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% - -
147 FARIDI Imran 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.