National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
2 BUECHEL Holly M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
5 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
6 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
7 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
8 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
9 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
10 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
11 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
12 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 97% 82% 53% 21% 4%
13 CHI Chelsea 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
14 ANDERSON Claire 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
15 DALEY Keira 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
16 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
17 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
17 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
19 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
20 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
21 LIN Elaine 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
22 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
23 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
24 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
25 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
26 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
27 ZHU Serene M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
28 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
29 YOU Emily 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 6%
30 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
31 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
32 VASYAKIN Liana 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
33 KIM Jayna 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
34 ROVATI Caterina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
35 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
36 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% < 1% -
37 FENG Ge 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 9%
38 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
39 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
40 WANG Trinity 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
41 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
42 KUMAR Anusha 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
43 SEREGIN Katya 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
44 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
45 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
46 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
47 XU Celina 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
48 ZMURK Emma M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
49 ZHU Riley 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
50 CHEN Alicia 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
51 ZHAO Alina 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
52 GUJJA Misha 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
52 WANG Victoria 100% 96% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
54 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
55 CHANG Celine A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
56 QIU Emily 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
57 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
58 CANNING Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
59 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% 1%
60 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
61 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
62 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
63 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
64 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
65 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
66 MALLAVARPU saanvi 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
67 KAUR Manroop 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
68 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
69 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
70 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
71 PULLEN Ayah 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
72 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
73 KANESHIGE Christina Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
74 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
75 SYKES Elynor 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
76 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
77 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
78 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
79 WANG Angelina 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
80 CHANG Chloe 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
81 ETZEL Rowan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
81 PULLARA Ashley 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
83 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
84 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
85 SENYUVA Su 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
86 ENRILE Erica 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
87 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
88 FERNLUND Helen 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
89 MCSWEENEY Janie 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
90 LIN Victoria T. 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
91 SAVNER Jessica L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
92 LIANG Jingjing 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
93 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
93 PANT Anisha 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
95 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
96 HUANG Lanlan 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
97 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
98 LAI Amanda 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
99 HILBY Olivia 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
100 LI Fei 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
101 CAREY Michele S. 100% 100% 90% 60% 22% 3%
102 NELSON Grace E. 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
103 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
103 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
105 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
106 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
107 LANE Leah 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
108 FREEMAN Kit 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
109 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
110 REYNOLDS Elly 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
111 PAN Angela 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
112 WOLF Lisa A. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
113 DONGES Anna 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
114 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
115 GUSKA Jenn 100% 26% 3% - - -
116 WEI Sherry 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
117 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
118 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
119 CHENG Wanrong 100% 28% 3% - - - -
120 JAMES Ashley 100% 59% 19% 4% - - -
121 LORENTSON Dawn M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
122 MCKENNA Analise 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.