National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAY Sasha - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
2 LIN Elaine - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 KANG Ellie - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
5 CASTELO Soleil - - 2% 13% 36% 41% 8%
6 YU Stella - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
7 LEOU Korina - - - - 5% 30% 65%
8 KWON Hannah - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
9 CHOI Charlotte - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
10 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
11 WONG Natalie - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
12 NIU Jessica - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
13 FOSS Persephone - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
14 NEMORIN Rei - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
15 KWON Ava - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
16 LEE Kaitlin - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
17 JIANG Evelyn - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
18 CONG Anne - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
19 XU Elaine - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
20 KAUL Tara - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
21 TONG Laurie - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
22 KU Alathea-Joy - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
23 YUEN Nicole - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
24 LONG Jessie - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
25 PARK Haylie - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
26 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
27 DHAR Rana - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
28 LEE Grace - - 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
29 GONZALEZ Veronika - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
30 YU Skylar - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
31 LIU kai yin aria - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
32 HU Heidi 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
33 WANG JiaQi - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
34 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
35 REN Katherine - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
36 SUNG Olivia - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
37 FAN Alexandria - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
38 CHOWDHERY Myra - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
39 LAUREYNS Ainsley - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
40 WEI Madison 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
41 SUNG Isabella - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
42 WANG Tina 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
43 GONG Joy - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
44 MISHEV Lila - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
44 JOSHI Samika 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
46 KIM Saeren - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
47 RAGHURAMAN Anishka - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
48 ZHU Avril - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
49 DING Jolie 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
50 CHERON Helene - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
51 WU Daisy - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
52 YERENKOVA Ameliia - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
53 FUNG Iris - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
54 JOHN Sophia 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
55 MAK Jayden 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
56 MEYERSON Michelle - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
57 DOLEV Rony - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
58 GOEL Lineysha 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
59 HSIEH Lucia 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
60 HUANG Pierra 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
61 MEADE Kaia G. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
62 ZHAO Selena 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
63 ZONG Eliane 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
64 HWANG Sophie 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
65 WANG Emily 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
66 NANDA Maanika - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
67 XIAÖ Cindy - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
68 KONZEN Iris 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
69 SENGUPTA Jia - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
70 HEATH Isabella - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
71 CHANG Annette - 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7%
72 MUTHAPPAN Sahana - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
73 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
74 MULLER Inara - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
75 MOTOVA Masha 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
76 BURGESS Brees 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
77 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
78 DUDNICK Caitlin 1% 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
79 KIM Grace 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
80 LONG Chloe 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
81 LIANG Claire 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
82 JUN Sofia 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
83 NGUYEN Summer - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
84 BANDHU Saahiti 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
85 STOLCKE Saskia 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
86 SEO Kaitlyn - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
87 KU Chloe - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
88 LAI Karen 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
89 ALMEDA Galina 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
90 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
91 HWANG Charlotte 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
92 OEI Allyson 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
93 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
93 CHEN Cindy - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
95 ARGUELLO Camilla - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
96 CHENG Anna 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
97 OLESKY Ellie - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
98 WANG Keira 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
99 SHI Maxine 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
99 TABANCAY Ava 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
101 KANIA Brigitte 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
102 BUSSELL Ava 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
103 TA-ZHOU Sophia 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
104 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
105 ZOFFEL Gabriela 2% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
106 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Nyssa 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
107 FRAZIER Chloe 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
108 FRANK Isabella 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
109 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
110 HU Ashley - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
111 MERRITT Annabelle 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
112 FAN Tina - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
113 CHAU Zoey 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
114 GONG suri - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
115 CORD Sophia 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
116 ZHANG Audrey 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
116 MALUKI Nia 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
118 KARAVAS Lucy 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
119 YADAV Tishya - 1% 8% 27% 41% 21% 2%
120 KATZ Emma - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
121 KAZA Ananya 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
122 KAZA Aditi 41% 45% 13% 1% - - -
123 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
124 FAGAN Cara 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
125 YANG Caroline 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
126 KO Ariel 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
127 POWERS Waverly 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
128 STANLEY Garance 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
129 YANG Renee 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -
130 JUNG Elise 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
131 DEMRY Kylee 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
132 SOUTHWELL Mia 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
133 FASSNACHT Jacqueline 27% 45% 22% 5% 1% - -
134 BACKES Anastasia 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
135 CHACKO Anne 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
136 YAP Anna 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% -
137 SAGER Bianca 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
138 CHEN Chloe 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
139 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
140 HILD Anya 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
141 BIESIADA Sophia 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
141 LEE Elise 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
143 JOHNSON Marlee 27% 51% 19% 3% - - -
144 SON Ellie 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
145 NEGROIU Mara 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
145 YOUNG Sienna 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
147 MAJEWSKA Maria 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
148 ZHANG Olivia - 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
149 DIBADJ Ava 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
150 YANG Felicia 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
151 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
151 WEI Levana 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
153 ESTEVES ZOE 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
154 PINES Kinsey 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
155 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
156 BABB Virginia 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
157 YAO Elizabeth 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
158 CHIU Philippa 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
159 GALLAGHER Isabella 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
160 MUNSHI Ridhima 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
161 SONG Phoebe 27% 45% 22% 5% 1% - -
162 WANG Selina 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
163 BAO Amelia 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
164 KABILING Anika Von Marie 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
164 QIU Abigail 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
164 NARUT Zoe 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
167 PATEL Maia 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
168 HUANG Megan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
169 SMITH Genevieve 24% 48% 23% 4% - - -
169 FAN Yutong 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.