National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 8%
6 YU Stella 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
7 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
8 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
9 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
10 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
11 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 10%
12 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
13 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
14 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
15 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 66% 26%
16 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
17 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
18 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
19 XU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
20 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
21 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
22 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
23 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
24 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
25 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
26 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
27 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
28 LEE Grace 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
29 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
30 YU Skylar 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
31 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
32 HU Heidi 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
33 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
34 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 1%
35 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
36 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
37 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
38 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
39 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
40 WEI Madison 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
41 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
42 WANG Tina 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
43 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
44 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 7%
44 JOSHI Samika 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
46 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
47 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
48 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
49 DING Jolie 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
50 CHERON Helene 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
51 WU Daisy 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 5%
52 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
53 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
54 JOHN Sophia 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
55 MAK Jayden 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
56 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
57 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
58 GOEL Lineysha 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
59 HSIEH Lucia 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
60 HUANG Pierra 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
61 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
62 ZHAO Selena 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
63 ZONG Eliane 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
64 HWANG Sophie 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
65 WANG Emily 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
66 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
67 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
68 KONZEN Iris 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
69 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
70 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
71 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
72 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
73 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
74 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
75 MOTOVA Masha 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
76 BURGESS Brees 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
77 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5%
78 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
79 KIM Grace 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
80 LONG Chloe 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
81 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
82 JUN Sofia 100% 59% 17% 3% - -
83 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
84 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
85 STOLCKE Saskia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
86 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
87 KU Chloe 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
88 LAI Karen 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
89 ALMEDA Galina 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
90 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
91 HWANG Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
92 OEI Allyson 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
93 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
93 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
95 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
96 CHENG Anna 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
97 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
98 WANG Keira 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
99 SHI Maxine 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
99 TABANCAY Ava 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
101 KANIA Brigitte 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
102 BUSSELL Ava 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
103 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
104 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
105 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
106 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Nyssa 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
107 FRAZIER Chloe 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
108 FRANK Isabella 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
109 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
110 HU Ashley 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
111 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
112 FAN Tina 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
113 CHAU Zoey 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
114 GONG suri 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
115 CORD Sophia 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
116 ZHANG Audrey 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 4% -
116 MALUKI Nia 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
118 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
119 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
120 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 14% 2%
121 KAZA Ananya 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
122 KAZA Aditi 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
123 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
124 FAGAN Cara 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
125 YANG Caroline 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
126 KO Ariel 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
127 POWERS Waverly 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
128 STANLEY Garance 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
129 YANG Renee 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
130 JUNG Elise 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
131 DEMRY Kylee 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% - -
132 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
133 FASSNACHT Jacqueline 100% 73% 27% 5% 1% - -
134 BACKES Anastasia 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
135 CHACKO Anne 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
136 YAP Anna 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
137 SAGER Bianca 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
138 CHEN Chloe 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
139 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
140 HILD Anya 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
141 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
141 LEE Elise 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
143 JOHNSON Marlee 100% 73% 21% 3% - - -
144 SON Ellie 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
145 NEGROIU Mara 100% 91% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
145 YOUNG Sienna 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
147 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
148 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
149 DIBADJ Ava 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
150 YANG Felicia 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
151 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
151 WEI Levana 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
153 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
154 PINES Kinsey 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
155 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
156 BABB Virginia 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
157 YAO Elizabeth 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
158 CHIU Philippa 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
159 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
160 MUNSHI Ridhima 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
161 SONG Phoebe 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
162 WANG Selina 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
163 BAO Amelia 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
164 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
164 QIU Abigail 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
164 NARUT Zoe 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
167 PATEL Maia 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
168 HUANG Megan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
169 SMITH Genevieve 100% 76% 28% 4% - - -
169 FAN Yutong 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.