National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOSITA Carson - 1% 11% 44% 38% 6%
2 LUHAN Zachary - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 LESUEUR Luke J. - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 16%
3 WANG Max - 8% 28% 39% 22% 3%
5 LEE Noah - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
6 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
7 CHABENAT Guillaume - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
8 LIN Nick - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
9 NG Jonathan - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
10 DUMOULIN Gabriel - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
11 WANG William - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
12 ATWOOD Griffin - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
13 HERNANDEZ Stanton - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
14 AKS Ari - - 7% 35% 44% 13%
15 KANG Evan - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
16 GAY Jono - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
17 SIDDIQUI Shayan - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
18 FENKER William M. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
19 FELDMAN Drew - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
20 POFF Kainoa - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
21 HAO Anwen - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
22 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
23 GONZALEZ Jake - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
24 DOARES Andrew - - - - 9% 90%
25 CHAN Henry - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
26 GERSTMANN Max T. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
27 MEADE Liam R. 1% 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
28 SHANKWILER Christopher - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
29 CAO Oliver - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
30 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
31 GOLDIN Lucca - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
32 CHEN Jonathan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
33 TIAGI George - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
34 DECK Tyson - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
35 CHINWAH Kaden - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
36 MANESCU Miron 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
37 DELARUE NELSON Y. - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
38 ZHANG Ethan W. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
38 POSY Daniel - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
38 SUBA Lucas - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
41 JONES Graham H. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
42 WITCZAK Mateus 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
43 COUNTS Nicholas 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
44 JENSBY Jason - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
45 HO Jacob - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
46 ZAYAS Devin A. - - - 8% 39% 52%
47 DESAUTELS Connor 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
48 HUA Michael - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
49 GONG Jerry - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
50 SANGSTER Arden 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
51 YADAV Lakshya - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
52 LIM Brandon - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
53 WANG Justin - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
54 TSAO Oliver - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
55 LIU Ethan 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
56 MARQUEZ Jeremy - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
57 KOGAN Nikita - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
58 VAUGHN Jason 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
59 WANG Michael 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
60 SUN Ziyao - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
61 BOLLU Viren 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
62 WAGNER Elijah 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
63 XUE Leo 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
64 BATTISFORE Hunter 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
65 STREB JR. Joseph T. - - - 2% 16% 52% 30%
66 BYON Julian - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
67 KO Zuriel - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
68 SAVOY Luca - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
69 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
70 DUDNICK Christian - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
71 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 4% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
72 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
73 ZHU Shirui 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
74 KITSON Chase - 3% 17% 42% 36% 2%
75 WONG Caleb W. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
76 CAMPBELL Benjamin F. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
77 GILSHTEYN Jacob - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
78 YERRAMILLI Tejas - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
79 BODKIN Jake M. - 3% 15% 36% 33% 11% 1%
80 CRAIN Bennett 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
81 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
82 HUANG Maxwell H. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
83 BHATIA Ekam 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
84 HUANG Alexander C. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
84 BERGER Jacob 2% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
86 HOLMES Aiden G. - - - 1% 9% 44% 45%
87 LI linze - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
87 TERENTIEV Max - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
89 HOOLE Colson - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
90 SADHU Neiyam 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
90 BEVANS Auden 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
92 GREMILLION Obadiah 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
93 YUAN Kevin - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
94 RIDKY Sam - - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
95 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 7% 27% 39% 23% 3%
96 BURKE Sam 6% 32% 47% 14% 1% -
97 KWON Kenneth 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
98 MISHRA Aadi 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1%
98 KUSANAGI Soshi 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
100 GOGNA Rehan 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
101 AUTREY Adrien 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
102 HARRINGTON Connor 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
103 WILKINSON James - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
104 BENSON Jacob - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
104 RAY Evan 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
106 COOKSON Leonardo 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
107 RIGGINS Littleton K. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
108 HRISTOV Kris - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
109 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
110 FARIDI Imran 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
111 MYERS Kaleb S. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
112 HERRERA aragon - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
113 ASGARALLY Anthony 23% 50% 24% 3% - -
114 KLEBS Robert 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
115 BROCKMEYER Tyler 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
116 TUNG Ryan 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
117 BADUSHOV Anton - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
118 WEINBERG Harry 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
119 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
120 VENU Ram - 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3%
121 SCHIMEL Luke 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
122 FANG Eason 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
122 POWER Alex 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
124 CLARK Gabriel - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
125 PARCELL Colby 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
126 JOHNSON Colin 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
127 ONG Dylan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
128 HO Anson 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
129 LEE Brady 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
130 SALMAN Hamzah 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
131 KIM Kendrick - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
132 HINTON Nickolys R. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
133 HILL Quillan 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
134 XU Ivan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
135 AHLMAN Jason 2% 34% 41% 19% 4% - -
135 BARNES William - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
137 CUSUMANO Neal - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
138 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
139 IYER Neil 1% 13% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
140 BARENBOYM Michael 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
141 SWIFT Owen 1% 10% 32% 41% 16% -
142 CHENG Brandon 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
143 MARGULIS Jared 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1%
144 CHAN Elliott 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
144 TSAO Alister 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
146 WEISS Toby 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
146 OJE Chuku - 1% 5% 23% 42% 25% 4%
148 HORNE Jamison - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
149 BLACKBURN Henry 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
150 OLSON Benjamin D. 3% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
151 TSAI Michael T. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
152 MILLS Matthew P. 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
153 ZHANG Ray 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
154 FAYETTE Julien 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
154 NARUT Oscar 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
154 VO Landon 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
157 MCDANIEL Luke 3% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
158 DIOP Dethie - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
159 DREWES James 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
160 WHITE Joshua H. 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
160 BARROWS Hunter 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
162 DOLEV Ido 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
163 CARDENAS Nathan A. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
164 CONNELL ROBERT 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
165 ZALEVSKY Liam 40% 45% 14% 1% - -
166 PARKILA Lukas 2% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
167 HENDERSON Jack 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
168 KENNEDY Michael 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
169 MENDOZA Christian - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
170 BECHTEL Trent 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
171 KOVACHEV Martin 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
172 ZLATINSKI Jason 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
173 FENG Brendan 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
174 HENRY Ethan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
175 ZHANG Lucas 17% 54% 25% 4% - - -
176 DESANTIS Benjamin 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
177 KALOUDIS Sean 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
178 PENG Victor 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
178 RINALDI Savio 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
180 SEPUCHA Sam 10% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
181 CRAWFORD William 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
182 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
183 PAK Andrew 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
184 SAGASTIZADO joshua 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
185 PODDAR Shameek 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
186 PERINO Alex 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
187 BLAKEMAN Michael J. < 1% 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
187 PERRY Gwydion 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
189 NELSON Jake 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
189 PINEDA Charles 60% 34% 5% - - - -
191 SEELMAN Cole 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
192 LIU Aaron 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
192 MACLEAN Lachlan 88% 12% - - - - -
194 KRAYTMAN Matthew 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
195 JOHNSON Eli 62% 32% 6% - - -
196 NETHERTON Jack 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
196 CHEN Jeremy 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
196 OBEID Zaky 26% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
196 HERRERA Stefano 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
200 SULLIVAN Gerard 57% 36% 7% 1% - - -
201 VOSPER James 37% 43% 16% 3% - - -
202 MARTIN William 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
203 FREER Sean L. 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
203 BOWLES Caden 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.