National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
2 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
3 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 FRANK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
5 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 10%
6 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
8 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
9 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
10 HAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
11 LAO Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
12 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
13 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
14 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
15 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 6%
16 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
17 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
18 CHOI Kailyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
19 MUHAMMAD Auset 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
20 CAMPBELL June 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
21 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
22 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
23 YUEN Elsie 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
24 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
25 DESAI Esha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
26 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
27 OLSEN Jen 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
28 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
29 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
30 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
30 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
32 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
33 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
34 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
35 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
36 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
37 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
38 SULTER Aurelie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
39 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
40 COLLINS Anna 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
41 BROWN Lily 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
42 MOORE Addisyn 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
43 CHANG Janelle 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
44 HUANG Sophie 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
45 RUSSELL Judith F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
46 LIU Elinda 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
47 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
48 MIRZA Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
49 TAMIR Esu 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
50 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
51 KO Darby 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
52 KANG Marian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
53 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
54 ALKADI Mai 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
55 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
56 LEE Allison 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
57 WANG Celine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
58 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
59 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
60 SHICK Veronika 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
61 CABALU Alaina 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
61 LIU Caydence 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
63 LI Grace 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
64 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
65 CUI alivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
66 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
67 KIM Erin 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
68 LIU Emily 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
68 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 100% 90% 61% 24% 4%
70 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
71 UHRICH Reese 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
72 SHAH Mahi 100% 97% 75% 20% 2% - -
73 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
74 GOLDBERG Talia 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
75 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
76 KIM Claire 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
77 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
77 ZHENG Zoe 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
79 HWANG Chanel 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
80 JACOB Norah 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
81 LIU Kiki 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
82 WU Lorena 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
83 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
83 LAW Shun Yu 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
85 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
86 RIGBY Ellie 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
87 CHOI ERIN 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
88 LAU Elena 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
89 FERRONE Gianna 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
90 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
91 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
92 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
93 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
94 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
95 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
96 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 42% 9% 1%
97 RYDMAN Grace 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
98 WOJCIK Lucyna 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
99 XIONG Isabel 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1% -
100 LATIFI Fara 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
101 PICO DIB Olga Cristina 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
102 QUINN Anna 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
103 COX Sophia 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
104 PARK Olivia 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
105 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
106 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
106 GOEL Riyana 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
108 LIU Grace 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
109 LIN Allison 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
110 HILL Lydia 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
111 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
112 SHELTON Olivia 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
113 LUNEAU Isabel 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
113 LEE Alice 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% -
115 SEAL Ayda 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
115 BULLARD Sydney 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 8% 1%
117 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
118 BABER Eshaal 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
119 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
120 LEVANT Briea 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
121 TOMASI Samantha 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
122 LOWTHER Imogen 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
123 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
124 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
125 KUDES Kathleen 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
126 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
127 BUI Aubrie 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
127 SONPAL Vivian 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
129 WILES Maeve 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
130 DESAI Kanushi 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
131 BALCE Cyril 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
132 CLARK Lillian 100% 91% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
133 HUGHES Bailey 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
134 LYON Claire 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
135 HAQUE Isabela 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
136 MARTIN Carolyn 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
137 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
138 GORDON Hannah 100% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
139 MANANSALA Zara 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
140 WALMSLEY Rowan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
140 JOHNSON Maya 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
142 BALDWIN Aimi 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
143 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
144 HUNG Samara 100% 18% 1% - - - -
145 LEMASTERS Elise M. 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
146 STONE Colleen R. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
146 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
146 HARRIS Parker 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
149 WANG Kelsey 100% 66% 15% 1% - - -
150 LIANG CHULING 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
151 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
152 REIFF Mathilda 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
153 BROSNAN Lily 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
154 BIENSTOCK Alexis 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
155 JEFFRIES Angela 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
155 JOHNSSON Emma 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
157 SINGH Sania 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
158 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
159 BABB Cicely 100% 72% 23% 3% - -
160 KATS Ekaterina 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
161 SHIEH Kiley 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
162 BROWNING Ruby 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
163 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
164 LU Zoe 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
165 PALEK Kenney 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
165 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
167 LIU Joanna 100% 27% 3% - - -
168 FRANZ Lyllian 100% 59% 12% 1% - - -
168 ALLEN Lily 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
168 CHU Felicity 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
171 LEACH Lauren 100% 95% 54% 15% 2% -
172 GOLDBERG Amanda 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
173 FOUST Abigail 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.