Event Results
Bastille DaySurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HEINS Dylan | V V V V V V | V V V V | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 2 | HICKS Zachary | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | ROBINSON Samuel | V V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 3 | KIM Ian | V V V D V | V V D | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 5 | ALLEGRETTI Zachary T. | V V V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | ALTANGEREL Bilegjargal | V V V D V D | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 7 | LIPTON Michael D. | D D D V D | V V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 8 | LI Chester | D D V D D D | V V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 9 | HSU Joshua | V D V V D V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 10 | NGUYEN Peyton | V D D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 11 | SIRBU Dan | V V D D V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 12 | WONG Preston | D V V D V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 13 | MITCHEM Paolo | D D V V D V | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 14 | KOERBER Christopher T. | D V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 15 | ZHAO Colin | D V D D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 16 | LUCASEY Charles (Chuck) J. | D V D V D D | V D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 17 | MARIANI Lou | V D V D V V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 18 | DEMANGONE Reed | V D V D V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | PREN Evan | D D V D V V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 20 | ZHANG Daniel | D D V D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 21 | CAMPBELL Kenneth | D V D D V D | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 22 | DILEEP Roshan | V D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 23 | MARTIN Zachary | V D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 24 | TRAN Noble | V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 25 | YAU Michael | D V D D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 26 | SIMONI James (Jim) V. | D D D V D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 27 | LEE Wei-Sheng | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |