2024 Show-Me State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Smithton Middle School - Columbia, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 VAUGHAN Paul - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
3 BURGESS James E. - - 8% 29% 39% 20% 2%
3 JOHNSON Jay - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
5 FERKO Philip J. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
6 METTE Russell - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
7 BROWN Lucas - 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
8 FU Jason - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
9 HART Jackson - - 9% 31% 39% 19% 2%
10 LYON Cameron 1% 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
11 CHRISTIAN Brandon - 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
12 MENNE Chris D. - 1% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1%
13 STANTON Richard - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
14 LAGEMANN Kurt 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
15 TIEKING Noah 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
16 LEE Geongsik (Lee) - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
17 BOGNER Adin 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
18 LAWLESS Elizabeth 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
19 SCOGGIN Daniel 26% 58% 14% 1% - - -
20 WESTON Michael 62% 36% 2% - - - -
21 GIOCOLO David 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.