2024 Show-Me State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Smithton Middle School - Columbia, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
3 BURGESS James E. 100% 100% 100% 91% 62% 23% 2%
3 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
5 FERKO Philip J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 METTE Russell 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
7 BROWN Lucas 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
8 FU Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
9 HART Jackson 100% 100% 100% 91% 60% 21% 2%
10 LYON Cameron 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
11 CHRISTIAN Brandon 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
12 MENNE Chris D. 100% 100% 99% 81% 43% 11% 1%
13 STANTON Richard 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
14 LAGEMANN Kurt 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
15 TIEKING Noah 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
16 LEE Geongsik (Lee) 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
17 BOGNER Adin 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
18 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
19 SCOGGIN Daniel 100% 74% 16% 1% - - -
20 WESTON Michael 100% 38% 2% - - - -
21 GIOCOLO David 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.