USA Fencing International Regional Circuit Wuxi

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, August 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Wuxi Taihu International Exhibition Center A4 Hall - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZOU TIANYI	-	-	1%	13%	44%	42%
2	CHEN Junlin	-	8%	36%	40%	14%	2%	-
3	PENG Lekai	-	1%	6%	22%	37%	28%	7%
3	HYEONSEOK JU	-	-	-	4%	24%	55%	17%
5	WANG Zhenyong	-	-	1%	6%	22%	42%	30%
6	DONG Richard	-	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
7	LI Aaron	-	1%	9%	29%	39%	20%	2%
8	JIA hanming	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	16%
9	XIAO ZiYu	-	1%	11%	36%	39%	13%
10	LU Hongyu	-	-	4%	22%	47%	26%
11	WANG Rory	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
12	ZOU QINGCHU	-	-	4%	21%	38%	29%	7%
13	CHEN mitchell lixuan	1%	13%	33%	33%	16%	4%	-
14	TSENG Chun-Yu	1%	10%	29%	35%	20%	5%	1%
15	CHEN Nuo	-	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	18%
16	WU Qiuhong	7%	26%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
17	WANG Ziyu	-	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	17%
18	LO Ho Tin	-	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	14%
19	CHEN KE	-	3%	13%	28%	32%	19%	5%
20	BI Ryan	1%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
21	LO Sze On Jackle	1%	9%	29%	38%	21%	3%
22	YE Gordon	2%	13%	28%	32%	19%	6%	1%
23	TAM Man Yu	-	3%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%
24	DU Zongyi	-	4%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
25	WANG Michael	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	-
26	TIANYU Zhai	-	2%	11%	28%	36%	20%	4%
27	LI Edison M.	15%	39%	34%	11%	1%	-
28	HUANG Dunhua	1%	6%	24%	39%	24%	6%	-
29	WEI Chit Chun (David)	4%	17%	31%	29%	15%	4%	-
30	HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador	11%	31%	34%	18%	5%	1%	-
31	ZHENG Marcus	8%	30%	39%	20%	3%	-
32	CHEN Bolin Liam	2%	12%	28%	32%	19%	6%	1%
33	SUMIN Yang	16%	43%	30%	9%	1%	-	-
34	ZHAO Brandon	6%	24%	38%	25%	6%	1%
35	SO GERALD	-	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
36	ANWEILER Nathan	9%	32%	36%	18%	4%	-	-
37	DING Zilin	2%	12%	29%	32%	19%	5%	1%
38	ZHAO Brian	16%	37%	32%	13%	3%	-	-
39	YUE Jackson	21%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
40	JIN Andy	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-	-
41	ZOU Aaron	-	< 1%	5%	23%	39%	27%	6%
42	GAO Andrew	19%	43%	30%	8%	1%	-	-
43	CHENG Chen	9%	39%	37%	13%	2%	-	-
44	CHENG li	9%	43%	37%	10%	1%	-
45	JI Huangxuan	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
46	WEIZHE WANG	23%	44%	27%	6%	1%	-
47	MA Oliver	81%	18%	1%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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