Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACSunday, January 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3139 | 3201 - 3080 |
| 5 - 8 | 2884 | 3024 - 2801 |
| 9 - 16 | 2671 | 2786 - 2594 |
| 17 - 32 | 2467 | 2559 - 2332 |
| 33 - 64 | 2151 | 2349 - 2001 |
| 65 - 128 | 1597 | 1996 - 962 |
| 129 - 139 | 768 | 1026 - 417 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.