Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACMonday, January 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2846 | 3007 - 2683 |
| 5 - 8 | 2582 | 2633 - 2548 |
| 9 - 16 | 2487 | 2543 - 2436 |
| 17 - 32 | 2323 | 2435 - 2240 |
| 33 - 64 | 2057 | 2208 - 1874 |
| 65 - 120 | 1455 | 1886 - 450 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.