Event Results

Div I-A Women's Foil

Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYCSurprise Map

Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 8:15 AM NJ Convention & Exposition Center · Edison, NJ, USA

28 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	YANG Iris	D V V V V V	V V V V V	5.4	5	-0.4
2	MI Aileen	V V D V V V	V V V D	5.3	5	-0.3
3	EYER Hailey M.	V V D V V V	V V D	5.8	5	-0.8
3	BABIAC Julia	V D V V V D	V V V D	3.1	4	+0.9
5	MARKOVSKY Nina	V V V D V V	V D	3.7	5	+1.3
6	HAO Danica	V V V D V V	V V D	3.2	5	+1.8
7	PEVZNER Nicole	V V V D D V	V V D	4.3	4	-0.3
8	DIMATULAC Elise Ann	V D V D D D	V V D	2.7	2	-0.7
9	RENTON Samantha	V V V V V V	D	5.2	6	+0.8
10	MEYER Claudia	D V D V V V	V D	3.4	4	+0.6
11	YURKOVA Mariia	D V D V V V	V D	3.9	4	+0.1
12	BASILE Gianna	V D D D V V	V D	2.6	3	+0.4
13	JANG Kimberley	V V D D V D	V D	5.4	3	-2.4
14	TURNER Stephanie E.	D V D V D D	V D	3.3	2	-1.3
15	SHERLOCK Gabriella	D D D V D V	V D	1.0	2	+1.0
16	WANG Carol	D D D V D V	V D	3.5	2	-1.5
17	FENG Audrey	V D V V D D	D	2.9	3	+0.1
18	LEVY Avery	V D D V D V	D	2.9	3	+0.1
19	JIANG Chloe	V D V V D D	D	1.7	3	+1.3
20	KAPOOR Saanvi	D D V D V D	D	2.6	2	-0.6
21	BRAVO ORTEGA Astrid	D D D V V D	D	2.2	2	-0.2
22	LAO Sophia	D V V D D D	D	1.7	2	+0.3
23	JOHNSON Maya	V D D D V D	D	0.8	2	+1.2
24	CHEN Sophie	D D V V D D	D	2.3	2	-0.3
25	SONG Jenna	D V D D V D	D	1.7	2	+0.3
26	ORBE-AUSTIN Nia	D D V D D D	D	1.1	1	-0.1
27	XIE Ling	D V D D D D	D	0.7	1	+0.3
28	LIU Kiki	D D D D D D	D	1.7	0	-1.7

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!