Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 1:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 21%
2 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
3 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
3 KIM kihyeon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
5 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
6 MASON Zander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
7 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
8 WANG justin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
9 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
10 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
11 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
12 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17% 2%
13 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
14 GILLER Augustus 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
15 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
16 LI Morgan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
17 WONG Maximus 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
18 BASSINDER Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
19 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
20 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 2%
21 PAN Anthony 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
22 ANAFI Ari 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
23 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
24 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
25 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
25 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
27 CHU Brandon A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
28 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
29 HOWELL Liam 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
30 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
31 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
32 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
33 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
34 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
35 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
36 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
37 CHEN YiHeng 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
38 GAO Victor 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
39 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
40 ZWEGERS Alexander 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
41 CHEN Luowen 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 13% 2%
42 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
42 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
44 KIM Henry 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
45 KIM Joshua 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
46 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
47 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9% 1%
48 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
49 LI Jade 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
50 WAI Andreas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
51 WANG Zhenhai 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
52 FENG Du 100% 99% 73% 31% 6% -
53 LEE DoWon 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% - -
54 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
55 NILSEN Mark 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
56 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
57 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
58 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% -
59 YI Nathan 100% 93% 60% 23% 5% - -
60 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
61 RIM Eugene 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
62 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
63 RUSSELL James 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
64 YU Samuel 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
65 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
66 HU Anton 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
67 DOWD Peter L. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
67 LEE Wyatt 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
69 SANTOS Felipe 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
70 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
71 RVACHEV Michael 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
72 PANTALONE Giuseppe A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 20% 2%
73 SONG Changze 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
74 LIN Nathan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
75 ZHAI Christopher 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
76 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
77 MANITT Philip 100% 71% 29% 6% - - -
78 KLINE R. Jay 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
78 DAN Rex 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
80 WU Shaochi 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
81 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
82 GU Eric 100% 7% - - - -
83 DAN Chuntao 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.