AIC BACK TO SEASON Tournament

Unrated Y-14 Mixed Foil

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 2:30 PM

AIC FENCING CLUB - STERLING, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZOU Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
2 LIU Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
3 JIANG Bohan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
3 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 5%
5 XU Joseph 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
6 PARMAR VEER 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
7 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
8 KIM Sophia 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
9 XU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
10 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
12 PACK Lindsey 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
13 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
15 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 91% 56% 18% 2% -
16 MAYER-STALEY Jace 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
17 PAK Sophie 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1%
18 XU Kaden 100% 79% 31% 6% - -
19 ITWARU Logan 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
20 CHEN Emma 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.