Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU ShiYu (Henry) - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 LEE Jaden - - - 2% 20% 59% 18%
3 LEE Abin - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 15%
3 WANG sicheng - - - - 5% 31% 64%
5 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
6 HE Ian - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
7 YANG Steve - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
8 OH Kepler - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
9 HONG Edwin - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
10 SHENOY sean 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
11 MAO Runxian - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
12 HE Gary - - 2% 13% 36% 40% 8%
13 XU Ethan - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
14 CHEN Jason - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
15 YU ShiLin (Harry) - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
15 DING Sam - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
17 SUN Roy - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
18 LEE Conrad - - - 3% 20% 56% 21%
19 TANG Brayden - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
20 CHEN Kyle - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
21 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
22 WANG Waylon - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
23 ZHANG Yankai - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
24 WONG Connor - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
25 OZCAN Archer 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
26 WANG Eason - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3%
27 TAN Benjamin - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
28 PARK Kaiden - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
29 MURDOCK Koichi - - 4% 19% 38% 33% 5%
30 LI Aaron - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
31 CHENG Alvin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
32 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
33 EVANS Desmond - - - - 4% 35% 60%
34 CREMEL Remi 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
35 FECK Shayne 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
36 SUN Lucas 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
37 LIU Aiden 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
38 HO Cameron 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
39 CABATO Luca 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
40 CAO Benjamin 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
41 LIN Sampson - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
42 SHA Laien - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
43 BHANGOO Arman 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4% -
43 CHOI William - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
45 LEE Joshua 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
46 MA Justin 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
46 CHEN Kurtis 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
46 ELSAYED Omar 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
49 FOO Kingston - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
49 KAJITA Grayson 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2% -
51 KIM Liam - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
52 JUE Lucas 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
53 SUTTON Alexander (AJ) 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% - -
54 GU Evan 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
55 SINGH Reyaansh 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
56 SHENOY Neil 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
57 ALCAZAREN Cian 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
58 LEE Juneau - 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1%
59 LITVACK Jackson 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
60 LIN Stewart 8% 36% 38% 15% 3% - -
61 DONG YIKUN 16% 50% 27% 6% 1% - -
62 MENG Andy 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
63 KWONG Colin 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 2% -
64 YAN Aaron 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
65 NGO Lincoln 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
66 XU Jiachen - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
67 BAUTISTA Kai - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
68 JI Dylan 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1% -
69 FECK Noah 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
70 CHOI Aaron 23% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
71 PARK Bryant 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
72 WANG Andrew 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
73 LIN Dylan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
74 MENG Eric 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
75 LUO Derren 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
76 MANANSALA Caleb 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
77 WANG Andy 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
78 TROYANKER Makar 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
79 FUNG Caleb 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
80 CHOI Owen 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
80 FUNG Lucas 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
82 TANAKA Evan 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
83 ANDERSON Stellan 62% 34% 4% - - - -
84 LI Jonathan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.