Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 18%
3 LEE Abin 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
3 WANG sicheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
5 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
6 HE Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
7 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 OH Kepler 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
9 HONG Edwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
10 SHENOY sean 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
11 MAO Runxian 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
12 HE Gary 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 8%
13 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
14 CHEN Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
15 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
15 DING Sam 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
17 SUN Roy 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
18 LEE Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 21%
19 TANG Brayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
20 CHEN Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
21 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
22 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
23 ZHANG Yankai 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
24 WONG Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
25 OZCAN Archer 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
26 WANG Eason 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
27 TAN Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
28 PARK Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
29 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 5%
30 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
31 CHENG Alvin 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
32 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
33 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 60%
34 CREMEL Remi 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
35 FECK Shayne 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
36 SUN Lucas 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
37 LIU Aiden 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
38 HO Cameron 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
39 CABATO Luca 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
40 CAO Benjamin 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
41 LIN Sampson 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7% -
42 SHA Laien 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
43 BHANGOO Arman 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4% -
43 CHOI William 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
45 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
46 MA Justin 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
46 CHEN Kurtis 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
46 ELSAYED Omar 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
49 FOO Kingston 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
49 KAJITA Grayson 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
51 KIM Liam 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
52 JUE Lucas 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
53 SUTTON Alexander (AJ) 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
54 GU Evan 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
55 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
56 SHENOY Neil 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
57 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
58 LEE Juneau 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
59 LITVACK Jackson 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
60 LIN Stewart 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
61 DONG YIKUN 100% 84% 34% 7% 1% - -
62 MENG Andy 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
63 KWONG Colin 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
64 YAN Aaron 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
65 NGO Lincoln 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
66 XU Jiachen 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
67 BAUTISTA Kai 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
68 JI Dylan 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1% -
69 FECK Noah 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
70 CHOI Aaron 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
71 PARK Bryant 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
72 WANG Andrew 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
73 LIN Dylan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
74 MENG Eric 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
75 LUO Derren 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
76 MANANSALA Caleb 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
77 WANG Andy 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
78 TROYANKER Makar 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
79 FUNG Caleb 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
80 CHOI Owen 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
80 FUNG Lucas 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
82 TANAKA Evan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
83 ANDERSON Stellan 100% 38% 5% - - - -
84 LI Jonathan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.