Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 2, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
2 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
6 LEE Lucas 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
7 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
8 KIM Evan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
9 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
10 SHOURIE Seth 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
11 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
12 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
13 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
14 JU Shang 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12% 1%
15 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
16 WONG Aaron 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
17 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
18 YU Haoyun 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
19 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
20 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
21 HUR Tyson 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
22 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
23 SHIH Derek 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
24 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
25 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
26 PARRA Lucas 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
27 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
28 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
29 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
30 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
31 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
32 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
33 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
34 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
35 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
36 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
37 VENERACION Marcus 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
38 TENG Eric 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
39 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20% 2%
40 ZHAO Luke 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
41 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
42 SALEH yassin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70% 21%
43 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
44 LIU Yihong 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
45 THOMPSON Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
46 KIM Benjamin 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
47 LEE Daniel 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% - -
48 MA kevin 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
49 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
50 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
51 PARK Sihoon 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
52 TIAN Dylan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
53 WANG Ryan 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
54 LIU Zihao 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
55 YE Andrew 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% - -
56 LO Stefan 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
57 GUO Jonathan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
58 ABD ALLAH Hamza 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
59 ROB Lennon 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
60 CHAN Calvin 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
60 LU Jayden 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
62 SHENG Ben 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
63 CHU Clayton 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
64 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
65 YI Alexander 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
66 WON Jacob 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
67 CHI Zachary 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
68 YOON Ian 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
69 HUNG Ludwig 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
70 YANG Rony 100% 72% 24% 4% - - -
71 BAEK Joel 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
72 BRIDGEWATER Beckman 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
72 KOU Logan 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
74 SHARMA Mihir 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
74 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.