Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
2 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
5 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
6 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
7 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
8 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
9 ZHENG Jasper 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% < 1%
10 CHIANG William 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
11 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
12 SMITH Theo 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
13 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
14 HONG Ethen 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
15 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
16 SHI Evan 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
17 CHEN Jayden A 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
18 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
19 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
20 TANG Colin 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
21 SHAO Mason 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
22 DAND Zahin 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
23 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
24 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
25 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
26 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
27 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
28 LI Nolan 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
29 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
30 KIM Louie 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
31 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
32 WHITE Jackson 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
33 ROFINO Samuel 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
34 JIN Derek 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
35 KESELMAN Ron 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
36 WHITE Leonardo 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
36 YAO Irvine 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
38 QI Bryan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
39 LANE Sawyer 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
40 LIU Kyle 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
41 CHEN Benjamin 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
42 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
43 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
44 ZHANG Jacob 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
45 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
46 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
47 CHEN Boru 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
48 WAGNER Miles 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.