Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Evan - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
2 KHERSONSKY Robert - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
3 SONG Aidan - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
5 CHEN Daniel - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
6 NOOL Aaron - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
7 YAKHNIS Seth - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
8 BHANDARE Veer - 1% 8% 22% 35% 27% 7%
9 ZHENG Jasper 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% < 1%
10 CHIANG William - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
11 CHEN Hayden - 1% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
12 SMITH Theo 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
13 FRIZZELL Kai - 3% 16% 36% 34% 12%
14 HONG Ethen 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
15 WILLIAMS Gavin 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
16 SHI Evan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
17 CHEN Jayden A 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
18 GUJJA Rishabh 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
19 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
20 TANG Colin - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
21 SHAO Mason - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
22 DAND Zahin 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
23 DAI Jason - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
24 RICHARDSON Matthew 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
25 ZHENG Jason 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
26 CHEN Regis 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
27 LAI Jayden - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
28 LI Nolan 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
29 CHO Adrian - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
30 KIM Louie 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
31 CAVALLARO Sebastian 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
32 WHITE Jackson - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
33 ROFINO Samuel 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
34 JIN Derek 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
35 KESELMAN Ron 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
36 WHITE Leonardo 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
36 YAO Irvine 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
38 QI Bryan - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
39 LANE Sawyer 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
40 LIU Kyle 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
41 CHEN Benjamin 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
42 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
43 SCOGGIN Charles 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
44 ZHANG Jacob 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
45 SCHLUBACH Jasper 3% 17% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
46 HAMILTON Tyler 47% 38% 13% 2% - - -
47 CHEN Boru 20% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
48 WAGNER Miles 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.