Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
2 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
3 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
5 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 18%
6 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
7 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
8 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
9 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 29%
10 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
11 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
12 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
13 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
14 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 32%
15 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
16 XU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
17 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
18 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
19 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
20 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
21 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% - -
22 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
23 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
24 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 98% 82% 34% 5%
25 TANG Terry 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
26 SHANNON Jack 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% 1%
27 GAO Payton 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
28 NICOLL William 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9% 1%
29 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3% -
30 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
31 CHO Xzander 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
32 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
33 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
34 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
35 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
36 WONG Jacob W. 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
37 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
38 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 94% 64% 22% 3% -
39 HOLLIS Sean 100% 97% 73% 24% 3% -
40 MARTIRE Luca 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
41 JIN Andy 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
42 BAKSHI Aman 100% 71% 29% 6% - -
43 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
44 POLONI Giovanni 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5% -
45 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
46 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
47 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 2% -
48 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3% -
49 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
50 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
51 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% -
52 CHINN Callum 100% 65% 16% 1% - -
53 LAO Kevin 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
54 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 75% 27% 5% - -
55 PETINO Leonardo 100% 92% 39% 8% 1% - -
56 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -
57 LI Benjamin 100% 40% 6% - - - -
58 MAGAZU Christopher 100% 85% 32% 5% - - -
59 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
60 QUAN Noah 100% 19% 1% - - - -
61 BERETICH Brian 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
62 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 65% 19% 2% - -
63 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
64 SABATINO Patrick 100% 64% 15% 1% - -
65 ZIMMERMAN Kaden 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.