Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 11:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
3 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
5 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
7 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
8 MACKAY Katherine 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
9 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
10 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
11 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
12 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
14 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
15 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
16 MCMAHON Kylin S. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
17 NAYAK Antara 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% < 1%
18 KWON Ava 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
19 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
20 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
21 HUANG Neila 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
22 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2%
23 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
24 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 89% 54% 18% 2%
25 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
26 XIE Nora 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
27 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
28 VINOKUR Anita 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
29 LIU Chelsea 100% 95% 46% 11% 1% - -
30 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 11% 1%
31 LEE Kaitlin 100% 97% 59% 19% 3% -
32 MAK Kaitlin 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
33 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
34 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
35 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
36 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
37 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
38 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
39 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
40 KIM Audrey 100% 85% 39% 8% 1%
41 LAGOON Miriam 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
42 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
43 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
44 KHOST Maeve 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
45 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
46 GUHA Surabhi 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
47 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
48 BAINS Nandini 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
49 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
50 WONG Charlene 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
51 LIM Alexa J. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
52 LAI Kaitlyn 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
53 BARNES Sarah 100% 48% 9% 1% -
54 GETZONI Mary 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
55 LAI Evelyn 100% 16% 1% - - - -
56 LEUNG Ella 100% 17% 1% - - -
57 HUANG Zoe 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.