Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 4:30 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRIEUR Christian F. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 4%
2 KATZ Ryan - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
3 LEE Andrew - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 WANG Jerry - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
5 UEMOTO Ken - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
6 PORTER Dupree - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
7 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
8 AO Christopher - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
9 SO Preston - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
10 WITCZAK Mateus - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
11 BRANDT Jaden - - - 3% 21% 48% 28%
12 WANG ANDREW CHANG - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
13 CHEN Jonathan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
14 WU Timothy 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
15 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
16 TSAO Oliver - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
17 CHUNG Connor - - - 2% 16% 46% 35%
18 GONG Alex - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
19 HENDERSON Lucas - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
20 LIM Brandon - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
21 PINTO Marcus - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
22 WONG Caleb W. - 1% 10% 35% 39% 13% 1%
23 LUAN Mark - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
24 SCHIMEL Luke 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
25 LIU Kevin - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
26 CLARK Aram - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
27 NAYAK Surin K. 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
28 WONG Max 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
29 JI Johnson 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
30 YOSHEA Henry 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
31 SUGIURA Samuel - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
32 LIU Ryan - 2% 19% 42% 30% 7% -
33 SUN Andrew - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
34 WAXLER Ryan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
35 NGUYEN Anthony - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
36 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
37 LIN Philip T. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
38 CRAWFORD William 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
39 CLARK Gabriel - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
40 SADHU Neiyam - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
41 TSAO Alister 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
42 RIDKY Sam - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
43 YANG Byron 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
44 FIROOZI Sam 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
45 ZWAKA Jonas 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
46 LIGH Checed 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
47 BARENBOYM Michael 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
48 LUAN Stephen 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
49 LORENZ Evan 2% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
50 RAJMOHAN Arya 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
51 LOO Jason 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
52 ROSADO Sebastian - 8% 39% 38% 13% 2% -
53 SONG Aidan 2% 13% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
54 WEI William 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
55 WEISS Toby 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
56 MAPES Tanner 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
57 LUCAS William - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
58 LIU Eric 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
59 CHEN Brendan - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
60 LEE Damian 14% 38% 32% 13% 2% - -
61 KARAVAS Nicholas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
62 HO Nathaniel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
63 SHEYNZON Benjamin 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
64 HELD Lev 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
65 KAPOOR Krish 13% 60% 24% 3% - - -
66 WASCO Andrew 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
67 EPLETT Nicholas 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
68 JAIN Karanvir 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
69 GORDON Samuel 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
70 WONG Mac 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
71 COBITZ Harrison 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
72 SAYAR Luke 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
73 LIU Alexander 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
74 SHAW Micah 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
75 LI Aidan 75% 24% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.