Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
3 SEO Irene Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
3 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
5 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
7 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
8 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
9 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
10 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
11 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 8% 1%
12 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
13 YANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
14 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
15 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 94% 66% 20% 2%
16 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 32%
17 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27% 3%
18 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
19 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
20 BABIAC Julia 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1%
21 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3% -
21 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
23 WANG YiXi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 17%
24 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
25 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
26 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
27 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 5%
28 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 9% 1%
29 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
30 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
31 LI Katerina 100% 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
32 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 17%
33 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
34 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
34 WANG Sabrina 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
36 WANG YIRAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
37 ROY Layla 100% 100% 100% 90% 52% 11% 1%
38 YU Jane 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 1%
39 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 99% 88% 46% 12% 1% -
40 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
41 PAULUS Isabella 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
42 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 89% 39% 7% - -
43 WEI Angela 100% 100% 99% 82% 45% 12% 1%
44 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 99% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
45 JIANG Chloe 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% - -
46 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13% 1%
47 HU Felice 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
48 BASILE Gianna 100% 96% 70% 24% 3% -
49 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2% -
50 HAO Danica 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 15% 2%
51 KATS Ekaterina 100% 92% 42% 9% 1% - -
52 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
53 SAKALLA Serene 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% - -
54 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
55 LIU Eva 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
56 KIM Claire 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% - -
57 LIU Kiki 100% 89% 47% 10% 1% -
58 CHEN Sophie 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% -
59 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 43% 7% - - -
60 BADLANI Diya 100% 89% 50% 13% 2% - -
61 BERTOLINI Mia 100% 61% 12% 1% - - -
62 SHICK Veronika 100% 80% 25% 3% - - -
63 REZA Fukaina 100% 33% 4% - - -
64 KO Darby 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
65 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 79% 16% 1% - - -
66 LI Xiang (Shining) 100% 64% 15% 1% - - -
67 WILES Maeve 100% 92% 26% 2% - - -
68 CASTRO Sabine 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
69 WU Doreen 100% 31% 2% - - - -
69 MUNOZ Isabella 100% 13% - - - - -
71 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
72 VAROQUA Tala 100% 39% 4% - - - -
73 JUVVADI Aanika 100% 24% 2% - - - -
73 LIU Ella 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
75 PIERSIG Eleanor 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.