Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YANG Steve | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | KIM Parker | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | ARYA Leela | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 5 | LIN Avery | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | CHEN Ryker | V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | FISCHER Grant | V D V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 8 | SHENOY sean | D V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 9 | LI Audrey | V V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 10 | WANG Ellen | V V D V V | V D | 1.3 | 4 | +2.7 |
| 11 | SHAO Tysen | D V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 12 | ALCAZAREN Cian | D V V D V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | YU Xintong | V V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 14 | PAN Samantha | V D V D V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | SHENOY Neil | V V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 16 | LIN Zhengxuan | V V V D D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 17 | THERIOT Reagan | D V V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 18 | LAM Dorris Yandor | V D D V V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 19 | GU Evan | D D D V V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 20 | CANTU Gabriel | V D V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 21 | HONDA Emi | D V V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 22 | LIN Dylan | V D D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 23 | GOLDSTEIN Benjamin | D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 24 | KO Cameron | D D V D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 25 | JUSON Julianne Lauren | D D D V D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 26 | FUNG Lucas | V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 27 | FUNG Caleb | D D D D V | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 28 | SUN Lucas | D V D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 28 | VASANTH Arjun | D V D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 30 | KHANAL Sarah | D D D V D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 31 | YAN Aaron | D D D D D | V D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 32 | DONG YIKUN | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 33 | LUO Derren | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 34 | STOCK Nina | D D D D V | D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 35 | EMERSON Cullen | D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 36 | LEE Clara | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.