Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Claire 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
2 XU Serena 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
3 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 HUREL Bertille 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
5 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
6 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
7 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
8 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
9 XIAO Nancy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
10 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
11 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 WANG Trinity 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
13 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
14 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
15 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
16 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
17 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
18 YOU Isabel B. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
19 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
20 REKEDA Anna 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
21 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
22 PAN Angela 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1%
23 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
24 BRAGG Leah 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 WANG Cecilia 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
26 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% -
27 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
28 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
29 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
30 WU Michelle 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
31 TRAN Helena 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
32 YU Eva 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
33 ILYAS Ayah 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
34 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
35 WONG Sydney 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
36 KANG kailin 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
36 LI Caroline 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
38 BRUNSON Nile 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
39 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
40 WEI Sherry 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
41 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% -
42 KAUR Manroop 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
43 WONG Angelina 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
44 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
44 DU Andria 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
46 ELKHATEEB Fajr 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
47 SHANKERDAS Shreeya 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
48 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
49 TCHERNYSHOV ANNA 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
50 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
51 KRAJA Emma 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
52 BISONO Valentina 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
53 FAKTOR Emily 100% 98% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
54 MONITTO Malina 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
55 BEJUGAMA Lasya 100% 72% 24% 4% - - -
56 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 1%
57 JUDICKE Olivia 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
58 LEVKOV Maita 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
59 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
59 CHEN Ava 100% 67% 18% 2% - - -
61 SATO Elyse 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
62 CHI Sarah 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
63 HALL Henrietta 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
64 FANG Jocelyn 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
65 FOMINA Polina 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
66 LI Rebecca 100% 92% 55% 17% 3% - -
67 VARHAUL Emily 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
68 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
69 QUADRI Saira 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
69 NGUYEN Celena 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
71 SHABBIR Aiza 100% 40% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.