Event Results
September Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HUANG Adrian | V V V D V V | V V V V | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 2 | WINGET William (Bill) D. | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | LAUER Michael | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BOYER Kai | V V V D V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 5 | COOPER Dominic | D V V V V D | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 6 | MCNARY Ross | D V V D V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 7 | VAN DYK Mark | D V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 8 | FAENOVA Alexandra | V D D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 9 | STAUBITZ Marc | V D V V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 10 | SHIREY Joseph | D V V D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 11 | HAUCK Samuel J. | V V D D D V | D | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| 12 | KRAVCENKO Nikita | D D V V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 13 | STEVENS Connor | D V V D V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 14 | MCNARY Sean | V D D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 15 | HILTON Jacob | D V D D D | V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 16 | PLUMMER Ken | D D D V D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 17 | DAWES Isabel | D D D D D V | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 18 | ANGELIDES Gabrielle | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 19 | DUTTON Kimberly | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |