2025 BFC Youth Series 1

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TIAN Victoria 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
2 BURDICK Elijah 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
3 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
3 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
5 TANG Luke 100% 99% 88% 52% 12% 1%
6 REDWINE Louise 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
7 YOON Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
8 SHI Evan 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
9 LI Nolan 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
10 SONKU Mira 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
11 DANA Miles 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% -
12 DIMOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
13 DING Iris Siyue 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
14 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
15 BAKER Bransen 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1%
16 ROMER Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
17 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
18 SHEN Zoey 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
19 ROFINO Samuel 100% 97% 74% 33% 6% -
20 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 2%
21 KING Samantha 100% 100% 89% 50% 11%
22 LI Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
23 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
24 LEE Iona 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
25 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 80% 33% 6% -
26 FLANAGAN Ronan 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
27 OZALP Tara 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
28 MILLER Brodrick 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
29 YAN Milan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
30 PLATT Eliot 100% 100% 98% 82% 37% 4%
31 PAN Emma 100% 72% 20% 2% - -
32 YOON Michelle 100% 87% 36% 5% -
33 ZHANG Jacob 100% 78% 31% 6% - -
34 MCNAMARA Conor 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
35 SHI Emma 100% 61% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.