Western Washington Foil/Epee Challenge #1

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 LI Samuel 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
3 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
5 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
6 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
7 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
8 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
9 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
10 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 9%
11 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
12 LU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
13 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
14 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 75% 33% 7% 1%
15 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
16 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 96% 70% 26% 4%
17 TROXEL Sylvie 100% 100% 99% 89% 45% 7% -
18 CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
19 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
20 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
21 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
22 KIM Teo 100% 98% 73% 31% 6% - -
23 LEE Jayden 100% 99% 86% 46% 11% 1%
24 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 88% 51% 16% 2%
25 BEAVER Ava 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
26 LI Edison 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1%
27 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 98% 79% 33% 2% -
28 HARRIS Julien 100% 88% 40% 8% 1% -
29 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
30 YAN Noelle 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
31 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 40% 6% - - -
32 ZHANG Raphael 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
33 WU Elynna 100% 97% 55% 9% 1% - -
34 NICHOLSON John 100% 32% 1% - - - -
35 KIM Seoheul 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
36 WANG Albert 100% 19% 1% - - - -
37 HINKLE Paul 100% 2% - - - -
38 BLIDAR Giulia 100% 88% 46% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.