Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Foil

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:15 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
3 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
3 LIU Kiki 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
5 LI Savannah 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
6 LAO Sophia 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
7 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 29%
8 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
9 BERGEL Daphne 100% 100% 100% 89% 51% 13%
10 OLSEN Jen 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 49%
11 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 17%
11 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
13 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
14 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
15 HWANG Chanel 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
16 LAZAR Carolina 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% -
17 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 14%
18 TOROPOVA Arina 100% 97% 76% 31% 4% -
19 LIU Caydence 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
20 SHANG Arianna 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
21 BERTOLINI Mia 100% 99% 89% 51% 10% 1%
22 PRINZ-STRATEMAN Matilda 100% 85% 38% 7% - -
23 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
24 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
25 LEE Allison 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
26 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 95% 55% 16% 2%
27 POLING Katherine 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
28 KIEFER Priti 100% 71% 12% 1% - -
29 LAVINE Samantha 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
30 GOLDBERG Talia 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
31 SULLIVAN Red 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
32 VAN DE VELDE Cecile 100% 92% 57% 18% 2% -
33 CHRISTENSEN Nora 100% 97% 79% 37% 7% -
34 BELISTRI Isabella 100% 39% 2% - - -
34 QI Annabelle 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
36 HUNG Samara 100% 49% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.