The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERMES Henry - - - 4% 22% 51% 24%
2 HAYES Nathan P. - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
3 HINDS David E. - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
3 BUZINKAI Brennan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
5 BRUNDAGE Nevan - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 13%
6 ANDERSON Riley - - 1% 5% 26% 47% 21%
7 FEAGIN Patrick - - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
8 KEIM Spencer - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
9 GUMPRICH Joe P. - - 2% 19% 51% 29%
10 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
11 BUI Ryan - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
12 BLUM Oliver - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
13 BADLANI Neel - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
14 CASSIDY Leo 5% 31% 44% 17% 2% -
15 PANE Patrick - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
16 CALLAHAN Blane - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
17 BETTS Kieran 1% 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
18 CAMPBELL Paul 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
19 NANAYAKKARA Damin 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
20 MOORE Mary 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
21 LUNDEN Espen 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
22 MATTA Lorenzo - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
23 SOUTHWORTH Connor 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
24 WATSON Taylor 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
25 HAYES Zackery 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
26 SEATON Jake 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
27 BRENNAN Philip - 1% 15% 50% 29% 5%
28 CARCATERRA Theodore 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
29 SEATON Luna 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
30 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
31 WALKER Joseph 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
32 LANDERS Sarah 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
33 BOZARTH Alex 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
34 MATUSIAK JT 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
35 FOLLENUS Charlotte 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
36 WALLS Annie 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
37 KHATTAK Sara 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
38 SCHIANO Sofia 11% 43% 34% 10% 1% -
39 BALDA Quinlan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
40 PRESBY Alison 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
41 BARRETT John 3% 54% 40% 4% - -
42 STRONG Brennan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
43 HEINLEY Jackson < 1% 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
44 QUINTANA Roberto 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
45 SILK Ryan 3% 26% 44% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.