The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
2 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
3 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
3 BUZINKAI Brennan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
5 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
6 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 21%
7 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
8 KEIM Spencer 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
9 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
10 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
11 BUI Ryan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
12 BLUM Oliver 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
13 BADLANI Neel 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
14 CASSIDY Leo 100% 95% 64% 19% 2% -
15 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
16 CALLAHAN Blane 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 13% 1%
17 BETTS Kieran 100% 99% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
18 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
19 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% -
20 MOORE Mary 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
21 LUNDEN Espen 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% - -
22 MATTA Lorenzo 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
23 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
24 WATSON Taylor 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
25 HAYES Zackery 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
26 SEATON Jake 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
27 BRENNAN Philip 100% 100% 99% 83% 34% 5%
28 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
29 SEATON Luna 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
30 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
31 WALKER Joseph 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
32 LANDERS Sarah 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
33 BOZARTH Alex 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
34 MATUSIAK JT 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
35 FOLLENUS Charlotte 100% 98% 85% 47% 12% 1%
36 WALLS Annie 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
37 KHATTAK Sara 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
38 SCHIANO Sofia 100% 89% 46% 12% 1% -
39 BALDA Quinlan 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
40 PRESBY Alison 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
41 BARRETT John 100% 97% 44% 4% - -
42 STRONG Brennan 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
43 HEINLEY Jackson 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
44 QUINTANA Roberto 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
45 SILK Ryan 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.