The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 4:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
2 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
3 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
3 LYON Drew 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 18%
5 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
6 NI Hao 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
7 BURLESON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
9 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
10 BAIN Tiernan 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
11 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
12 CURRY Robin 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
13 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
14 SMITH ` Tyler M. 100% 99% 87% 48% 13% 1%
15 STEWART Brian 100% 100% 95% 70% 24% 2%
16 RACHAPROLU DIVYAGNYAAN Siddartha 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
17 WERNER Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
18 LEE Angela 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
19 LESTYAN Cat 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% - -
20 CONANT Aidan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
21 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
22 LIN Hao 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
23 WATTS Liam 100% 97% 74% 24% 2% -
24 HATFIELD Alexander 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
25 BURGOA David 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
26 ELPURNOMO Aldrin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
27 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 96% 66% 22% 2% -
28 JONES Declan 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% -
29 KEESEE Devon 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
30 CARNEAL Robert 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
31 BROCK Maya 100% 73% 27% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.