Air Force ROC/RJCC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KENT Laurel 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% < 1%
2 LUMINATI Kathryn 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 ISAACSON Henny 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 NAROTZKY Emma 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
5 FREEMAN Katherine 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
6 CAREY Michele S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
7 RADOV Una 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
8 LANE Leah 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
9 LEWIS Rachel 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
10 CHENIER Amelia 100% 57% 15% 2% < 1% -
11 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
12 RICH Caroline B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
13 LLOYD Melanie 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
14 LEE Valerie 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%
15 LEE Adelynn 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% 1%
16 GAN Shelby 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%
17 NEUMANN Freya 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
18 PYE Emily 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
19 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
20 YUEN Elsie 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
21 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
22 JAMES Ashley 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
23 RALSTON Katherine 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.