October NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
2 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 13%
3 LAUB William 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
5 LU Xinzhen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
6 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
7 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
8 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 3%
9 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
10 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% < 1%
11 PANG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
12 KANG Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 27% 4%
13 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
14 DEGEORGES Cole C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
15 FILATOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
16 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
17 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
18 WANG Will 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
19 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
20 MANESCU Miron 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
21 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
22 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
23 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
23 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
25 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
26 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
27 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
28 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
29 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
30 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 11%
31 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
32 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 13%
33 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
34 GAY Jono 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
35 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
36 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
37 OH Aster 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
38 ZHAO Royce 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
39 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
40 CLARK Gabriel 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
41 AO Christopher 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
42 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
43 ZHOU William 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
44 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
45 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
45 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
47 JONES Graham H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
47 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
49 GONG Alex 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
49 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
51 LI Matthew 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
52 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
53 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
54 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
55 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
56 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 8% -
57 JONES Elijah 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
58 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
59 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
60 ZHOU Grant 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5%
61 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
62 ONG Dylan 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
63 BALE ATMAN 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
64 WEI William 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
65 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
66 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
67 HUA Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
68 BENSON Jacob 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
69 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
70 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
71 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
72 SUN Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
73 HUNG Samuel 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
74 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
75 WANG William 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
76 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
77 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
78 ZHANG Ray 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
79 HO Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
80 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
81 CARR Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
82 TRZEPLA Max 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
83 ABBASI Abtin 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
84 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3%
85 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
86 PORTER Dupree 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
87 LIEUWMA Nico 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
88 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
88 AROUNA Ilan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
90 IDIR Mohand-Ilyas 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
91 BIVIJI Ali 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
92 STURGEON Cole 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
93 XU Ivan 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
94 HALL Noah 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
95 TSAO Alister 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% - -
95 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
97 RIDKY Sam 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
98 LI Cooper 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
99 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
100 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
101 CLARK Aram 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
102 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
103 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
104 CHAN Elliott 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
105 WOLMART Zander 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% - -
106 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
107 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
108 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
108 TSAO Oliver 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
110 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
111 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
112 POWER Alex 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
113 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
114 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
115 KUMAR Arjun 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
116 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
117 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 17% 2%
118 LEVY Jack 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
119 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
120 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
121 SASSI Ilyas 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
122 XIA Matthew 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
123 BERGER Jacob 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
124 FANG Eason 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
125 LIGH Checed 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
126 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
127 JANUS Maksymilian 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
128 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% - -
129 ROSALES Vincent 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
130 BREUER Daniel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
131 CHEN Richard 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3% -
132 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
133 BAI Evan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
134 LIU Andrew 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
135 SANGSTER Arden 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
136 SADHU Neiyam 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
137 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
138 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
139 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
140 LUAN Mark 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
141 JI Johnson 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
142 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
143 JAIN Karanvir 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
144 ETIN Ari 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
145 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
146 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
147 WANG Michael 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
148 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
149 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
150 KIARA Kinoti 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
151 WONG Caleb W. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
151 WEINBERG Harry 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
153 WANG Jerry 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
154 HOWELL Casper 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
155 AUTREY Adrien 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
156 CRAWFORD William 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
157 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
158 YANG Byron 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
159 GAO Kai 100% 63% 23% 4% - - -
160 BAHK Caleb 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
161 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 71% 15% 1% - - -
162 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
162 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
164 FENG Brendan 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
165 KOENIGSBERG Jared 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
166 KETT Richard 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
166 BARROWS Hunter 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
168 CHIEN Nolan 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
169 ANSARI Umayr 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
170 JIN Yubo 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
171 CAO Donald 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
172 WANG Max 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
173 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
174 REHM Liam 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
175 TIAGI George 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
176 ZISLIN Benjamin 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
177 MARKARYAN Eric 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
178 PODDAR Shameek 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% - -
179 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 83% 38% 7% 1% - -
179 LIGUORI Michael 100% 93% 60% 17% 2% - -
181 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 62% 13% 1% - - -
182 COBIAN Richard 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
183 REILLY Xavier 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
184 HENDERSON Jack 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
184 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% - -
186 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
186 PINTO Augusto 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
188 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
189 CAI Chengtian 100% 67% 19% 3% - - -
190 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
191 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
192 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
193 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 46% 5% - - - -
194 QUAIL Jonathan 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
194 GAYEVSKY Maximilian 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
196 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
196 COBITZ Harrison 100% 32% 4% - - - -
198 WITHAM Leo 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
199 DHAR asif 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
199 FREILICH Harrison 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
201 CLARK Hunter 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
202 MURRAY Brody 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.