2024 Szathmary Smackdown I

Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 10:00 AM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URBANSKI Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
2 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 LIM Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
3 BUZINKAI Brennan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
5 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% < 1%
6 KEMLE Brian 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
7 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 7%
8 JOHNSON Soren 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
9 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
10 SINGH Arnav 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 15%
11 BEDWORTH Paige 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 5%
12 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
13 DREWRY William 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
14 MCNARY Ross 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
15 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
16 CRAIG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
17 BABBITT Phoenix 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
18 KARRIEM Zainuddin 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
19 TOMASI John 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
20 SHELLABARGER Stephen 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
21 MCNARY Sean 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
22 SAYLER Gordon 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 2%
23 PETE Landon 100% 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
24 PLANAS Ethan 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -
25 BARRETT John 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
26 PARKER Jordan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
27 ZIVENKO Oleksii 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2% -
28 DERRINGER Drew 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3% -
29 HAYES Zackery 100% 94% 63% 19% 3% - -
30 BROCK Maya 100% 98% 80% 44% 15% 3% -
31 PIERCE Marcia M. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
32 DREWRY Alexandra 100% 39% 6% - - - -
33 SEATON Luna 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
34 ROBERTSON Nolan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
35 HAUSER Samuel 100% 92% 47% 11% 1% - -
36 MACGREGOR Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
37 CARRUTH Mae 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
38 PIERCE Robert 100% 78% 35% 7% - - -
39 WATKINS Christopher 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% -
40 HEINLEY Jackson 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
41 BENJAMIN John 100% 97% 54% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.