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Event Results

Div I Men's Saber

October NACSurprise Map

Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM Atlantic City Convention Center · Atlantic City, NJ, USA
255 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MORRILL William V V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.7 6 +0.3
2 WILLIAMS Grant W. V V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
3 LILOV Neil D V V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. V V V V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
5 CHOI Silas V V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
6 DESROSIERS Olivier V V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
7 HOLZ Daniel D V V V V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
8 HONG Rubin V D D D V V V V V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
9 LIM William J. V V V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
10 TE VELDE Noah C. V V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
11 WALKER Dalton F. V V V V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
12 PAN Jerry V V V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
13 BENAVRAM Lev C. V V V D V V V V V D 5.4 5 -0.4
14 CALLAHAN Jaden P. V V D D V V V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
14 ROBERTS Sam V D V V V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
16 HUANG Ethan F. V D D V D V V V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
17 WANG Robert V V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
18 SHOMAN Noah V V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
19 ROBINSON William V V V V V V V V D 3.7 6 +2.3
20 WITEK Bernard J. V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
21 QIU Nathan V V V D V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
22 MCBRIDE Jackson R. V V V V D V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
22 MICLAUS Justin V D V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
24 ATANASSOV Vasil V. V V V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
25 BERMAN Luca V V V V D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
26 LUKASHENKO Darii V V D V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
27 YEN Darren V V V D V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
28 OH Triton V V D V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
29 ANDREEV Ilia V D D V V V V V D 4.7 3 -1.7
30 GUFFEY Christopher D V V D V V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
31 BERRIO Carter E. V V V D D D V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
32 DENNER Maximilian P. V V D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
33 NOFAL Zeyad V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
34 NAZLYMOV Andrei V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
35 JI Cody Walter V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
36 WOOD Elden S. V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
36 WOODWARD Connor V V V V V V D 2.6 5 +2.4
38 VINCI Flavio V V V V V D V D 4.2 5 +0.8
39 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. D V V V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
40 REN James V V V D V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
41 WANG Nicolas V V D V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
42 ERMAKOV Semeon V D V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
43 SO Hananiah V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
44 KWALWASSER Eric V D V V V D V D 4.4 4 -0.4
45 MAKLIN Edward P. D D V V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
46 NORRIS Roman D V D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
47 BABAYEV Gabriel A. D V V V V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
48 SHOMAN Zachary V V D V V D V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
49 PRIMUS Nazir V V V D D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
50 SAHAY Kenji V D D V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
51 HJERPE Wade H. V V D V D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
51 LEE Noah V V D V V D V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
53 CHAN Matthew D V V V D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
54 XU William V V D V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
54 YE Eric D V V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
56 NG Jonathan D V V V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
57 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) D V D V V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
58 BAE Jason I. D D V V V V V 3.3 3 -0.3
59 BERA Enzo V D V V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
60 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. V D V V D V V D 1.3 3 +1.7
61 BOOTH Zaheer D V V D D V V V D 4.9 3 -1.9
62 PAN Alex V V D D D V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
63 SIERADZKY Dawson D V D V D V V V D 5.0 3 -2.0
64 PENG Bryan D D D V V D V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
65 HEATHCOCK Antonio V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
66 WONG Tzer V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
67 ESCUETA Tony V. V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
68 KUSHKOV Daniel V V V V V V D 3.4 6 +2.6
69 JIANG Anthony V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
70 CHON Taylor A. V V V V V D D 5.0 5 -
71 FELDMAN Drew V V V V V D D 2.6 5 +2.4
72 LIU Kevin V V V D V V D 2.6 5 +2.4
73 CHAVES Matthew J. V V D V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
73 KOGAN Ben V V V D V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
75 SU Landon V V V V D V D 3.0 5 +2.0
76 WANG Daniel D V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
77 GHAYALOD ansh V D V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
78 KIM Ethan V V V V D V D 2.9 5 +2.1
79 BYON Julian V V V V V D D 2.7 5 +2.3
80 KOTOV Leonid V V D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
81 YAO JINTAO V V V V D D 1.6 4 +2.4
82 BYON Adrian V V V V D D 2.1 4 +1.9
83 SLASTIN Andrew V D V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
84 WONG Ryan V V V D D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
85 WILSON Jude D V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
85 YAN Kevin D V V D V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
87 LIMB Matthew G. V V V V D D V D 5.1 4 -1.1
88 DODRILL Grant V D V D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
89 GREENBAUM Ian L. V V V D V D V D 2.2 4 +1.8
90 GEFELL Andrew P. V V V D V D V D 4.7 4 -0.7
90 CHON Collin D V D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
92 FENG Leo D D V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
93 CONTRACTOR Cyrus V D V V V D V D 2.0 4 +2.0
94 ZHOU Matthew R. D V D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
95 PASTORE LIU Vince D V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
96 LIN Maxim V D V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
97 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) V V V D D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
98 LIN Daniel V V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
99 LI Howard V D V D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
100 LINDHOLM Oliver S. V D V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
101 NADILE Henry V. D V D V D V V D 5.5 3 -2.5
102 KIM Shaun M. V V D D V D V D 4.5 3 -1.5
103 CHENIER Marc-Olivier V D V V D D V D 5.3 3 -2.3
104 HU Chris V V D D D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
105 PANDEY Neil V D V D V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
106 HOLMES Aiden G. D D V V V D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
107 ANTHONY Devyn V. D D V D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
108 CHEN Samuel D D V D V V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
109 LEE Aydan J. D D V V D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
109 MCCARTHY Gabriel V D V V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
111 ZHANG Yupeng V V D D D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
112 PATEL Rayn V V D D V D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
113 TENG MATTHEW D V D V V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
114 CHUNG Connor V D D D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
115 BERKAY Deniz V V D V D D V D 4.6 3 -1.6
116 DOLAN Charles R. V D V D D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
117 JOO Jeein D D D V V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
118 YAO JINCHENG V V D V D D V D 3.0 3 -
119 ZHAO Lucas D D V V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
120 CHEONG Heonjun D V D V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
121 YAN William V D D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
122 HARVEY Nicholas J. D V D D V V D 4.2 2 -2.2
123 NOBLE Colin V D V D D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
124 ATWOOD Griffin V D V D D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
125 KIM ELIJAH D V D V D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
126 PI Alexander V V D D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
127 ERACHSHAW Taras P. D V V D D D V D 4.4 2 -2.4
128 NGO Maximus D D D V D V V D 2.0 2 -
129 WU Roger (Mengke) V V D D V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
130 HUANG Alex F. V V D V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
131 RAMANAN Govind D V V D V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
131 GONZALEZ Jake V V V D D V D 2.3 4 +1.7
133 JEFFORDS Alexander V V V D D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
134 POFF Kainoa V V D D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
135 CRAIG Samuel D V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
136 CHEN Jonathan D V V D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
137 MICHELL Bailey D V V D V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
137 CHEONG Heonjae D V D D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
139 TAO Jeffrey V V D V D D D 3.1 3 -0.1
140 PATIL Aaryan A. D V D V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
141 FIELDS Matthew S. D V D V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
142 BAUER Hank E. D D V V D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
143 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu D D V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
144 STAMIS Kyle V D D V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
145 DEPEW Spencer V D V D V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
146 KILARI Krish D V V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
147 TIAGI Daniel D D V D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
148 SHIRPAL Oleksandr D D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
149 MAY Griffin M. V D V D V D D 2.0 3 +1.0
150 NGUYEN Anthony D V V V D D D 1.9 3 +1.1
151 LIN Philip T. V V D D V D D 1.3 3 +1.7
152 ZHEXUAN yu D D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
153 KATZ Ryan D D D V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
154 ROSBERG Dashiell W. V V V D D D D 2.7 3 +0.3
155 MEHAN Nicholas D V D D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
156 BONIFIELD Arthur G. V V D V D D D 4.2 3 -1.2
157 MATTOO Deven D V D D V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
157 YANG Dylan D D V V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
159 POWER Alex V D V V D D D 0.6 3 +2.4
160 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. D V V D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
161 SIDDIQUI Shayan V D D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
162 HAN William D V V D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
163 VAID Luke D V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
163 LU Xinzhen V D D V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
165 MORALES Jonathan D D V V D D 2.0 2 -
166 WANG ANDREW CHANG V V D D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
167 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. V D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
167 MALAITHONG Nathagorn D D V V D D 2.0 2 -
169 LIU Lawrence D D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
170 RIGHTLER Samuel D D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
171 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) V D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
172 HONG Vincent Q. D D D V V D D 4.1 2 -2.1
173 TSAO Oliver D D V V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
174 HOUTZ Jackson V D D V D D D 3.8 2 -1.8
175 MUNGUIA Nathan D D V D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
176 SHIPITSIN Alexander D D V V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
177 DIACOS Jordan D D D V D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
178 WOODWARD Dylan P. D D V D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
179 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. V D D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
180 ANDRES Michael V D D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
181 DECK Tyson D D D V V D D 2.0 2 -
181 XU Ivan D D D V V D D 1.1 2 +0.9
183 BRANDT Jaden D V V D D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
184 DALAL Rohan V D V D D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
185 STURN Oliver D D V D V D D 3.1 2 -1.1
186 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) D D D V V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
187 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. D V V D D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
188 WANG Jerry D V D V D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
189 KANG Evan D D D D V V D 1.1 2 +0.9
190 CHEEMA Hyder V D D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
191 SHANKWILER Christopher V V D D D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
192 UEMOTO Ken D V D D D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
193 HOWELL Casper D V V D D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
194 HUANG Alexander C. D D D D V V D 1.2 2 +0.8
195 CARRINGTON IV William T. D V D D V D 2.0 2 -
196 GERSTMANN Max T. D D D D V V D 1.2 2 +0.8
196 PIWOWAR Alex D D V V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
198 KALPATHY Rohit D V V D D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
198 ZENG Noah D D D V V D D 3.0 2 -1.0
200 BROU Inkosi D D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
201 RAMANAN Jaisimh D D V D D V 2.6 2 -0.6
202 JONES Graham H. D D D V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
203 EYBELMAN Ariel D D D D V 1.4 1 -0.4
204 MAHONEY Colin M. D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
205 MORREALE John D D D D V 2.9 1 -1.9
206 BUCHMANN Finn D. D V D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
207 KIM Kendrick D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
208 CORTEZ Christopher D D V D D 2.4 1 -1.4
209 FERNANDEZ Liam D D D D V 2.0 1 -1.0
210 ZHANG Ethan W. D D V D D 1.2 1 -0.2
210 WANG William D V D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
210 SOWERS Samuel D D D D V 1.2 1 -0.2
210 FORMENTI Giulio D D D D V 1.7 1 -0.7
214 MEYERSON Jacob D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
215 FLOT Tai A. V D D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
216 DILLREE Spencer S. D D D D D V 3.6 1 -2.6
217 VAROQUA Nalby D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
218 MATTOO Surya D V D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
219 GONG Jerry D D D D D V 2.1 1 -1.1
219 KIM Theodore D D V D D D 1.0 1 -
221 YERRAMILLI Tejas V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
222 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier D V D D D D 4.1 1 -3.1
222 FOX Gavin D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
224 KO Zuriel D D D V D D 0.9 1 +0.1
225 FALCON-KORB Mathis D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
226 LINCOURT Arthur D D D D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
226 DUNCAN Adlai D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
228 WESLER Logan A. D D D D V D 3.1 1 -2.1
229 SUBA Lucas D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
230 DOARES Andrew V D D D D D 4.0 1 -3.0
231 GLOZMAN Justin V D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
232 LAUB William D V D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
233 RIGGINS Littleton K. D V D D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
233 DELARUE NELSON Y. D D D D D V 2.3 1 -1.3
235 HALL Noah V D D D D D 1.0 1 -
236 GOLDIN Lucca V D D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
237 BEITEL Noah D D D V D D 2.7 1 -1.7
238 FANG Eason D D D D D V 0.9 1 +0.1
239 WANG Max D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
240 ZHANG Derek D D D D D 2.3 0 -2.3
240 MANESCU Miron D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
240 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
243 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. D D D D D D 3.9 0 -3.9
244 ROE Finnegan D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
244 LIN Felix D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
246 WANG Max D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
246 ZHOU Grant D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
248 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
249 AERY FALLICK Ozzie D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
249 ANAND Rohan D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
249 HUA Michael D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
252 FERRARO Pietro D D D D D D 3.7 0 -3.7
252 WANG Michael D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
254 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
255 LI Matthew D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%