October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William - - - - 3% 24% 72%
2 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 2% 22% 75%
3 LILOV Neil - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
5 CHOI Silas - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
6 DESROSIERS Olivier - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
7 HOLZ Daniel - - 4% 21% 48% 27%
8 HONG Rubin 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
9 LIM William J. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
10 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
11 WALKER Dalton F. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
12 PAN Jerry 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
13 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
14 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
14 ROBERTS Sam - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
16 HUANG Ethan F. - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 10%
17 WANG Robert - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
18 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
19 ROBINSON William - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
20 WITEK Bernard J. - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
21 QIU Nathan - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1%
22 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
22 MICLAUS Justin - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
24 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
25 BERMAN Luca - 2% 13% 38% 42% 5%
26 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
27 YEN Darren - - - 5% 29% 66%
28 OH Triton 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
29 ANDREEV Ilia - - - 2% 23% 75%
30 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
31 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
32 DENNER Maximilian P. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
33 NOFAL Zeyad - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
34 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
35 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 12% 45% 42%
36 WOOD Elden S. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
36 WOODWARD Connor 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
38 VINCI Flavio - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
39 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
40 REN James - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
41 WANG Nicolas - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
42 ERMAKOV Semeon 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
43 SO Hananiah - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
44 KWALWASSER Eric - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
45 MAKLIN Edward P. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
46 NORRIS Roman - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
47 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
48 SHOMAN Zachary - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
49 PRIMUS Nazir - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
50 SAHAY Kenji 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
51 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
51 LEE Noah 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
53 CHAN Matthew - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19% 1%
54 XU William - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
54 YE Eric - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
56 NG Jonathan 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
57 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - - 3% 19% 50% 28%
58 BAE Jason I. - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
59 BERA Enzo 4% 21% 40% 29% 7% -
60 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
61 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
62 PAN Alex 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
63 SIERADZKY Dawson - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
64 PENG Bryan 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
65 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - - 2% 26% 71%
66 WONG Tzer - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
67 ESCUETA Tony V. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
68 KUSHKOV Daniel - 3% 15% 35% 33% 12% 1%
69 JIANG Anthony - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
70 CHON Taylor A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
71 FELDMAN Drew 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
72 LIU Kevin 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
73 CHAVES Matthew J. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
73 KOGAN Ben - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
75 SU Landon 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
76 WANG Daniel 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
77 GHAYALOD ansh 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
78 KIM Ethan - 6% 30% 39% 21% 5% -
79 BYON Julian 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
80 KOTOV Leonid 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
81 YAO JINTAO 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
82 BYON Adrian 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% -
83 SLASTIN Andrew - 4% 18% 34% 32% 12%
84 WONG Ryan - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
85 WILSON Jude - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
85 YAN Kevin 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
87 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
88 DODRILL Grant - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
89 GREENBAUM Ian L. 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
90 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 1% 6% 28% 53% 12%
90 CHON Collin 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
92 FENG Leo - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
93 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
94 ZHOU Matthew R. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
95 PASTORE LIU Vince 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
96 LIN Maxim 3% 17% 35% 33% 12% 1%
97 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
98 LIN Daniel 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
99 LI Howard 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
100 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 11% 33% 37% 15% 2%
101 NADILE Henry V. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
102 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
103 CHENIER Marc-Olivier - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
104 HU Chris - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
105 PANDEY Neil - 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 3%
106 HOLMES Aiden G. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
107 ANTHONY Devyn V. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
108 CHEN Samuel 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
109 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
109 MCCARTHY Gabriel 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
111 ZHANG Yupeng 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1% -
112 PATEL Rayn 2% 11% 29% 34% 18% 5% -
113 TENG MATTHEW 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
114 CHUNG Connor 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% - -
115 BERKAY Deniz - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
116 DOLAN Charles R. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
117 JOO Jeein 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
118 YAO JINCHENG 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
119 ZHAO Lucas 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
120 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
121 YAN William 4% 21% 37% 29% 9% 1%
122 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
123 NOBLE Colin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
124 ATWOOD Griffin 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% - -
125 KIM ELIJAH 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
126 PI Alexander 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
127 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
128 NGO Maximus 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
129 WU Roger (Mengke) - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
130 HUANG Alex F. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
131 RAMANAN Govind 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
131 GONZALEZ Jake 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
133 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 7%
134 POFF Kainoa 4% 21% 38% 29% 7% -
135 CRAIG Samuel 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
136 CHEN Jonathan 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
137 MICHELL Bailey 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
137 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
139 TAO Jeffrey 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
140 PATIL Aaryan A. 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
141 FIELDS Matthew S. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
142 BAUER Hank E. 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
143 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
144 STAMIS Kyle 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
145 DEPEW Spencer - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
146 KILARI Krish 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
147 TIAGI Daniel 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
148 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
149 MAY Griffin M. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
150 NGUYEN Anthony 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
151 LIN Philip T. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
152 ZHEXUAN yu 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
153 KATZ Ryan 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
154 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 1% 9% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
155 MEHAN Nicholas 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
156 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
157 MATTOO Deven 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
157 YANG Dylan 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
159 POWER Alex 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
160 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
161 SIDDIQUI Shayan 9% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
162 HAN William 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
163 VAID Luke 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
163 LU Xinzhen 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
165 MORALES Jonathan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% -
166 WANG ANDREW CHANG 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
167 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
167 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 5% 24% 40% 25% 5% -
169 LIU Lawrence 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
170 RIGHTLER Samuel 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
171 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 11% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
172 HONG Vincent Q. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
173 TSAO Oliver 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
174 HOUTZ Jackson - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
175 MUNGUIA Nathan 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
176 SHIPITSIN Alexander 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
177 DIACOS Jordan - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
178 WOODWARD Dylan P. - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
179 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
180 ANDRES Michael 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
181 DECK Tyson 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
181 XU Ivan 21% 55% 21% 3% - - -
183 BRANDT Jaden 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
184 DALAL Rohan 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
185 STURN Oliver 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
186 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
187 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
188 WANG Jerry 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
189 KANG Evan 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
190 CHEEMA Hyder 3% 23% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
191 SHANKWILER Christopher 20% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
192 UEMOTO Ken 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
193 HOWELL Casper 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
194 HUANG Alexander C. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
195 CARRINGTON IV William T. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
196 GERSTMANN Max T. 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
196 PIWOWAR Alex 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
198 KALPATHY Rohit 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
198 ZENG Noah 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
200 BROU Inkosi 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
201 RAMANAN Jaisimh 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
202 JONES Graham H. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
203 EYBELMAN Ariel 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
204 MAHONEY Colin M. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
205 MORREALE John 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
206 BUCHMANN Finn D. 1% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
207 KIM Kendrick 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
208 CORTEZ Christopher 2% 14% 37% 36% 10% 1%
209 FERNANDEZ Liam 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
210 ZHANG Ethan W. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
210 WANG William 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
210 SOWERS Samuel 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
210 FORMENTI Giulio 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% -
214 MEYERSON Jacob 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
215 FLOT Tai A. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
216 DILLREE Spencer S. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
217 VAROQUA Nalby 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
218 MATTOO Surya 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
219 GONG Jerry 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
219 KIM Theodore 28% 47% 21% 4% - - -
221 YERRAMILLI Tejas 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
222 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - < 1% 4% 19% 42% 31% 4%
222 FOX Gavin 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
224 KO Zuriel 32% 46% 18% 3% - - -
225 FALCON-KORB Mathis 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
226 LINCOURT Arthur 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
226 DUNCAN Adlai 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
228 WESLER Logan A. - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1%
229 SUBA Lucas 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
230 DOARES Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
231 GLOZMAN Justin 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
232 LAUB William 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
233 RIGGINS Littleton K. 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
233 DELARUE NELSON Y. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
235 HALL Noah 29% 47% 20% 3% - - -
236 GOLDIN Lucca 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
237 BEITEL Noah 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
238 FANG Eason 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
239 WANG Max 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
240 ZHANG Derek 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
240 MANESCU Miron 34% 43% 19% 3% - -
240 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
243 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. < 1% 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
244 ROE Finnegan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
244 LIN Felix 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
246 WANG Max 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
246 ZHOU Grant 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
248 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
249 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 6% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
249 ANAND Rohan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
249 HUA Michael 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
252 FERRARO Pietro < 1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
252 WANG Michael 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
254 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 59% 36% 5% - - - -
255 LI Matthew 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.