October NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Stephanie - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
2 STOJAKOVIC Lola 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
3 YOU Isabel B. 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
3 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
5 WALTER Anna 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
6 LAI Amanda - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
7 HUREL Bertille - - 1% 5% 24% 46% 24%
8 MELLES Anne-Mai - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
9 XU Celina - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
10 WU Michelle - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
11 REN Xingyun - - - - 2% 24% 74%
12 WONG Caitlin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
13 MISHIMA Audrey - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
14 TCHERNYSHOV ANNA 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
15 GOLIYAD Lisa 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
16 VENKATESAN Harshitha 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 1%
17 GOH Cayla - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
18 SUN Hanya - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
19 CHIRASHNYA Mika - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
19 SU Evelyn - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
19 ENRILE Erica - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
22 KAUR Manroop - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
23 SCHULTZ Nomi - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
24 LIN Victoria T. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
25 MENG YIFAN - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
26 HUANG Lanlan - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
27 WANG Hannah 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
28 PETROFF Eva 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
29 KRAJA Emma 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
30 GEFFNER Olivia 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
31 LAMBRINO Patricia Maria - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
32 GAVASHELI Margarita 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
33 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
34 PILSON Rebecca - 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
34 VASYAKIN Liana - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
36 KLIMENKO Anna - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
37 ZHANG Michelle - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
38 WANG Sophie Y. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
39 BLAKE Caira - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
40 BRAGG Leah - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% -
41 TRAN Helena - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
42 WEI Sherry 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
43 SMOTRITSKY Liat - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
43 ZHENG Erin 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
45 BURKHARDT Krista L. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
46 MURPHY Katherine - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
47 ELTERMAN Kate - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
48 PULLEN Ayah - - 3% 18% 40% 33% 5%
49 LIU Baihan - 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2%
50 DUNSEATH Lauren M. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
51 WESER Veronica U. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
52 PAN Angela 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
53 MINOR Lindsey - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
54 LI Yixin Catherine 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
55 BLAKEY Heaven 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
56 YANG Hanting(Catherine) - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
57 MCSWEENEY Janie - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
58 BISONO Valentina 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
59 WONG Angelina 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
60 ZUCKER Emily A. 6% 29% 42% 19% 3% -
61 ELKHATEEB Fajr - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
62 ERSHOVA Anastasia - 6% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
63 MEYER Rebecca 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
64 MERIWETHER Anne - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
65 GOOCH Anna V. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
66 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
67 FENG Iris 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
67 ZHANG Elaine 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
69 NGUYEN Ella 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
70 BOROTKO Katerina - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
71 NGUYEN Audrey - 1% 7% 30% 44% 17%
72 KALGAONKAR Arohi - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
73 LOBANOVA Varvara - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8%
74 PHELAN Gabrielle 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
75 KANASKAR Ila 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
76 CHEN Ava 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
77 DESAI Ela 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% 1% -
78 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela - 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% -
79 FREEMAN Kit - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
80 LEE Camilla - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 4%
81 FRAGER Soleil - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
82 NELSON Grace E. 2% 15% 35% 34% 14% 2%
83 FOMINA Polina 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
84 BURT Emmalyne Grace 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
85 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
86 BARDIN Kira 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
87 UNGURIANU Nika - 2% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
88 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
89 CHEN Jingyun - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
90 MACE Eliza M. - - - 2% 14% 47% 38%
91 WU Madisen 6% 39% 39% 14% 2% - -
92 GAVILANES Madyson 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
93 KAUSHISH Sara - - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
93 KROPP Anne - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
93 MURPHY Megan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
96 NGUYEN Ashley L. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
96 ZHAO Yanning 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
98 ZAMELIS Madelyn 3% 27% 44% 22% 4% - -
99 BI Michelle 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
100 CURRIE Keira 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
101 MEYER Rachel 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
102 CHEN Sophie - 2% 16% 40% 35% 7%
103 FANG Kayla 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
104 YUMIACO Nylah 17% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
105 JUDICKE Olivia 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
106 SKLAR Davida 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
107 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
108 VOSKOV Olivia 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
109 CHEN Alicia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
110 SHANKERDAS Shreeya 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
111 LIN Cynthia 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
112 YAO Chloe 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
113 RICHARDS Axelle 6% 39% 40% 13% 2% - -
113 COLELLA Lauren - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
115 YU Livia 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
116 HU Chloe 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
117 GARCIA Aly 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
118 IVANUSHKINA Alisa 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
119 BANNERMAN Courtney 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
120 MIHILL Margaret 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
121 KRISHNA Rithika 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
122 CHUANG Ramona 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
123 MILLIGAN Lauren M. - < 1% - 1% 11% 38% 49%
124 MARTIN Adriana 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
125 BRODEUR Andrea 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
126 SHEIKH PAREE 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
127 RALSTON Katy 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
128 ANDERSON Isabela 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
129 ZOLDAK Mary - - < 1% 4% 22% 45% 29%
130 HAAS Claire 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
131 SANLIKOL Suzan 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
132 REISNER Gabriella 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
133 GOTSABINA Elizabeth 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
134 MORET Brighid E. 2% 18% 39% 31% 8% 1%
135 BAWA Jenya 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
136 BRANDWEIN Elizabeth - 4% 22% 42% 26% 5%
137 BEJUGAMA Lasya 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
138 EL BADAOUI Salma 30% 57% 12% 1% - - -
139 SETO Karen 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
140 BOTNER Olivia - < 1% 3% 21% 40% 28% 6%
141 TOBY Charmaine 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
142 SHABBIR Aiza 67% 29% 4% - - - -
143 MONITTO Malina 14% 39% 35% 11% 2% - -
144 MCKENNA Analise 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
145 LEE Seoyoon 4% 25% 46% 21% 3% - -
146 PIERSIG Eleanor 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
147 YU Sara 70% 27% 3% - - - -
148 D'ANGELO Olivia 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
148 DUNNE Jessica 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
148 DIBENEDETTI Isabella 57% 39% 4% - - - -
151 WHITTINGTON Kelly 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
152 DREW Dorothea M. 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
153 WUNDERLICH Cara J. < 1% 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
153 MASTRONARDI Laura 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
155 XIAO Jolie 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
156 ZHANG Selina 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.