2024 Fall Foliage Classic

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 9:30 AM

UVM -Patrick Gym, West Court - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CHUA Kirby - - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
2 KROLEWSKI Alexander 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% < 1%
3 MCCAULEY Samuel R. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 TAM Kyle 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
5 DJONOUMA Toyohm - - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
6 GRADY James - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 COFFIN Carleton - - 4% 18% 36% 29% 10% 1%
8 LEE Ethan - - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
9 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
10 MEHRBACH Jesse - 1% 8% 25% 39% 23% 4%
11 GOLDENBOGEN Simon - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
12 MARCOUX Alexander - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
13 GOODMAN Carden 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% - -
14 FOX Viveka R. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
15 HENTY Colton 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
16 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
17 BALCH Richard Trip 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% - -
18 MENGUC Eve 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
19 PERNIA Samantha 9% 34% 40% 16% 2% - - -
20 ANNEAR Phillip 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
21 OMALLEY Yonah 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
22 BIANCOSINO Paras 6% 26% 36% 22% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.