2024 Fall Foliage Classic

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 9:30 AM

UVM -Patrick Gym, West Court - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CHUA Kirby 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
2 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 4% < 1%
3 MCCAULEY Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
5 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
6 GRADY James 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
7 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
8 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
9 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
10 MEHRBACH Jesse 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
11 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
12 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
13 GOODMAN Carden 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% - -
14 FOX Viveka R. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
15 HENTY Colton 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
16 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 81% 39% 11% 1% - -
17 BALCH Richard Trip 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% - -
18 MENGUC Eve 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
19 PERNIA Samantha 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% - - -
20 ANNEAR Phillip 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
21 OMALLEY Yonah 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
22 BIANCOSINO Paras 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.