Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAI Joanna - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
2 HWANG Sophie - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 CHEN Cindy - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 3%
3 SANTIAGO Hannah - - - 8% 44% 48%
5 MERRITT Annabelle - 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
6 PARK Chloe - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
7 LAUREYNS Ainsley - - 1% 6% 24% 45% 24%
8 KISARA-KELLY Aiko - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
9 ARVIND Heera 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
10 LEE Jadyn 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
11 CONG Catherine 1% 18% 41% 32% 8% -
12 LIN Rachel - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
13 DUFF Caitlin 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
14 CORD Sophia - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
15 ZOFFEL Gabriela 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 2%
16 TABANCAY Ava 2% 25% 42% 26% 6% -
17 YANG Renee 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
18 YU Sydney 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
19 TANG Athena 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
20 ROBBINS Lydia 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
21 RIGGS Maren - 6% 25% 41% 22% 5% -
22 MENDOZA SAB 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
23 LUC Madisyn 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
24 CHAN Clara Minna Chan 11% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
25 AHMED Jennah 27% 44% 23% 5% - - -
26 SHIH Cayla 78% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.