Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
2 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
3 SANTIAGO Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 48%
5 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
6 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 24%
8 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
9 ARVIND Heera 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
10 LEE Jadyn 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
11 CONG Catherine 100% 99% 81% 41% 9% -
12 LIN Rachel 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
13 DUFF Caitlin 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
14 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
15 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
16 TABANCAY Ava 100% 98% 73% 31% 6% -
17 YANG Renee 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
18 YU Sydney 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
19 TANG Athena 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
20 ROBBINS Lydia 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
21 RIGGS Maren 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
22 MENDOZA SAB 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
23 LUC Madisyn 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
24 CHAN Clara Minna Chan 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
25 AHMED Jennah 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
26 SHIH Cayla 100% 22% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.