Premier Challenge ROC DIV1A/DIV2

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, February 24, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVID Maxime 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
2 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
3 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
5 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
6 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
8 DUBE Charles-Hugo 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
10 KENNARD M Henry B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 6%
11 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
12 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
13 ADLER Ian B. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
14 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
15 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
16 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
17 MA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
18 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 7%
19 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
20 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 11%
21 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
22 HEMPE Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
23 HARTMARK Anders 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
24 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
25 WU Albert 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 2%
26 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
27 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
28 MILLER Trent D. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
29 LEE Daniel C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
30 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
31 BADRIGIAN William H. 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
32 HEALY Griffen 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
33 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
34 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
35 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
36 WEISS Barrett A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
37 CARMAN Ian K. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
38 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
39 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
40 BOBROW Logan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
41 CAI Oliver K. 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
41 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
43 GROSS Liran 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
44 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
45 DULA Patrik L. 100% 95% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
46 LIU Kevin B. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
47 HO Ryan J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 27% 7% 1%
48 RICCIO Frank J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
49 GEE Brandon 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
50 FU Samuel Y. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
51 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
52 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
53 GU Jeffrey 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
54 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% -
55 FU Yifan 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
56 PUGLISI Will 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
57 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
57 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
59 SINGH Dayaal 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
60 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 98% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
61 WANG Michael 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
62 SCHULTES Evans 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
63 LEVESQUE Louis 100% 35% 6% 1% - - -
64 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
65 MILLER Andrew 100% 32% 5% - - - -
66 HILMER Michael 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
67 ZHAO Jesse 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
68 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
68 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
70 WANG William 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.