Premier Challenge ROC DIV1A/DIV2

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, February 24, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 BASALYGA Jeffrey D V V V V V V V V V V 4.2 4 -0.2
2 MORREALE John V V D V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
3 MICHELL Bailey V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
3 HUAYTA James W. V V V D V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
5 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
6 TAKEMARU Leo V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
7 LIU Kelly V V V D V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
8 GANTA Vijay V V D D V V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
9 WARD Fraser V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
10 LASORSA Matthew V D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
11 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam V V V D V V D 4.0 4 -
12 YAO Jonathan V V V V D D V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
13 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. V D D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
16 ZHOU Miles V D D D D V V D 1.9 1 -0.9
17 PEDERSEN Leif V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
18 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. V D V V V V D 5.7 5 -0.7
19 TSODIKOV Matthew G. V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
20 KAHN Justin M. V V V D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
21 LUO ZiRui V V V V D V D 3.3 4 +0.7
22 HENNICKE Michael G. D V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
23 WUN William V V V V D D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
24 LIN William V V D V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
25 PATTON Colin T. V V V D D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
26 SHAKER Maged D V D V D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
27 SPRANG Nicholas D. D D D V V V 2.5 2 -0.5
28 HALL Justyn V V D D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
29 CHAN Alexander S. D D V V D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
29 TANG Albert D D D V V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
31 CHAN Daniel D D D V D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
32 TIERNO Thomas J. D D V D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
33 ROSEN Ben D V V D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
34 QIN Alexander D D V D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
35 PARK Tai H. V V V D D D D 3.0 3 -
36 MARTINEZ Justin D V V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
37 CONTRERAS Sebastian V D D V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
38 XU Eric D D D V V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
39 DEWEY Charles J. V D V D D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
40 YUAN Kevin D V D D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
41 DEFORD Kevin W. D D D V V D D 0.7 2 +1.3
42 RUDNET Noah D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
43 GEORGE Daniel D D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
45 HEREFORD Ramses D. D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
47 NEVILLE James D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
49 KEIRSTEAD Robert D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.