Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Miranda - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 LI Alice - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 MA Isabelle - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 9%
3 MIYOSHI Kylie - - 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
5 TAO Ann - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 LIU Ariana - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
7 NEUMANN Erika - - - 3% 17% 45% 34%
8 WU Chingfei Amber - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
9 YAO Abby - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
10 THERON Zoe - - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
11 DAI Iris Yuyang - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
12 ZHOU Joi - - - 2% 15% 44% 38%
13 YU Sophie - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
14 PEDERSEN Haley - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
15 HSIAO Ariya - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
16 CHO Karis - 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 1%
17 ZEE Savannah - - - 7% 38% 54%
18 SOE Hayleigh - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 21%
19 PAN Samantha 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
20 MATTUPALLI Ashwika - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
21 WANG Doreen - - 5% 26% 47% 21%
22 LIN Allison - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
23 LI Chelsea - 2% 15% 43% 31% 8% 1%
24 ZHU Yunyao - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
25 LIN Avery 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 2% -
26 TEWARI Amaira - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
27 XIA Isabella - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
28 KIM Natalie - 2% 15% 47% 31% 5%
29 WANG Ellen 19% 48% 27% 6% - -
30 HAN Gian - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
31 JENA Aanvi 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% 1%
32 TAN Shouyin - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
33 SAH Madeleine 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
34 LEE Zoe E. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
35 CHAN Ella 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
36 YUEN Kaitlyn 7% 34% 44% 13% 1% -
37 ZHANG Elizabeth 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1%
38 ZHANG Queeny - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
39 LI Audrey 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
40 YU Xintong 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
41 KIM Audrey 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
42 DONG Nancy 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
43 OTAEGI Elorri - 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
44 PARK Lauren - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
45 AHN Hayley 1% 9% 35% 39% 14% 2%
46 ARYA Leela 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
47 TANG Amelia 2% 24% 42% 25% 6% -
48 HSU Rachel - - 5% 31% 49% 15%
49 HOM Emma 3% 27% 43% 23% 5% -
50 DVOIRIS Maya 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
51 TAI Taphanie 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
52 NICOLETTI Thea 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
53 KENSICKI Phoebe - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
54 YU-TAN Claire 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
55 LEE Abigail 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
56 HONDA Emi 13% 48% 34% 6% - -
57 DEJOY Leilah 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
58 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
59 CHU Lauren 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
59 THOTA Akira 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
61 GUO Jianing 24% 58% 16% 2% - - -
62 WARBURTON Eleanor 29% 45% 21% 5% - - -
63 COLIC LANI 26% 46% 23% 5% - - -
64 JOESUF Aurielle 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
65 PARK Seojeong 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
66 LAU Shu Yeung Sophia 1% 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
67 STERNAD Pia 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
68 Q Mia 42% 43% 14% 2% - - -
69 JIN Jada Y 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
70 LIU Madeleine 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
71 YANG Byanca 46% 42% 11% 1% - -
72 SARANGAN Ovia 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
73 PAWAR Sanvi 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
74 THERIOT Reagan 29% 50% 19% 2% - - -
75 HUYNH Evangeline < 1% 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
76 FISHER Sienna 2% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
76 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 75% 22% 2% - - -
78 YIN Anthea 43% 46% 10% 1% - - -
78 SUH Mia < 1% 6% 30% 41% 20% 3% -
80 FISCHER Evangeline 1% 20% 55% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.