Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
3 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
5 TAO Ann 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
6 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 NEUMANN Erika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
8 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
9 YAO Abby 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
11 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
12 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
13 YU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
14 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
15 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
16 CHO Karis 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16% 1%
17 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
18 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
19 PAN Samantha 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
20 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
21 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
22 LIN Allison 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
23 LI Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 9% 1%
24 ZHU Yunyao 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
25 LIN Avery 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
26 TEWARI Amaira 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
27 XIA Isabella 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
28 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 98% 83% 35% 5%
29 WANG Ellen 100% 81% 33% 6% - -
30 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 15%
31 JENA Aanvi 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
32 TAN Shouyin 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
33 SAH Madeleine 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
34 LEE Zoe E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
35 CHAN Ella 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
36 YUEN Kaitlyn 100% 93% 59% 15% 1% -
37 ZHANG Elizabeth 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
38 ZHANG Queeny 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
39 LI Audrey 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
40 YU Xintong 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
41 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
42 DONG Nancy 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
43 OTAEGI Elorri 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
44 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
45 AHN Hayley 100% 99% 90% 55% 16% 2%
46 ARYA Leela 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
47 TANG Amelia 100% 98% 74% 32% 6% -
48 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 15%
49 HOM Emma 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% -
50 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
51 TAI Taphanie 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
52 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
53 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
54 YU-TAN Claire 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
55 LEE Abigail 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
56 HONDA Emi 100% 87% 40% 6% - -
57 DEJOY Leilah 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
58 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
59 CHU Lauren 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
59 THOTA Akira 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
61 GUO Jianing 100% 76% 18% 2% - - -
62 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
63 COLIC LANI 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
64 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
65 PARK Seojeong 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
66 LAU Shu Yeung Sophia 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
67 STERNAD Pia 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2% -
68 Q Mia 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
69 JIN Jada Y 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
70 LIU Madeleine 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
71 YANG Byanca 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
72 SARANGAN Ovia 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
73 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
74 THERIOT Reagan 100% 71% 21% 3% - - -
75 HUYNH Evangeline 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 3% -
76 FISHER Sienna 100% 98% 70% 29% 6% -
76 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 100% 25% 2% - - -
78 YIN Anthea 100% 57% 11% 1% - - -
78 SUH Mia 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% -
80 FISCHER Evangeline 100% 99% 80% 25% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.